US and Iranian officials reached a preliminary memorandum of understanding in mid-June 2026 to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, and launch 60 days of follow-on talks on Iran's nuclear program, including enrichment limits and stockpiles. President Trump and Vice President Vance virtually signed the framework alongside Iranian representatives, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled for Friday in Switzerland. Officials have stated that the full text remains unreleased pending that step and could appear shortly afterward, though statements on exact terms have shown some inconsistencies between the sides. Pakistan mediated the process amid broader 2025–2026 negotiations, while sanctions relief and asset releases remain tied to compliance during the upcoming period. Trader assessments of release timing reflect the short window after the ceremony and the absence of any immediate publication.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$275,123 交易量
6月16日
8%
6月17日
35%
6月19日
74%
6月30日
93%
$275,123 交易量
6月16日
8%
6月17日
35%
6月19日
74%
6月30日
93%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US and Iranian officials reached a preliminary memorandum of understanding in mid-June 2026 to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, and launch 60 days of follow-on talks on Iran's nuclear program, including enrichment limits and stockpiles. President Trump and Vice President Vance virtually signed the framework alongside Iranian representatives, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled for Friday in Switzerland. Officials have stated that the full text remains unreleased pending that step and could appear shortly afterward, though statements on exact terms have shown some inconsistencies between the sides. Pakistan mediated the process amid broader 2025–2026 negotiations, while sanctions relief and asset releases remain tied to compliance during the upcoming period. Trader assessments of release timing reflect the short window after the ceremony and the absence of any immediate publication.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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