US and Iranian officials reached a framework memorandum of understanding in mid-June 2026 to halt hostilities from the ongoing conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of follow-on talks on Iran’s nuclear program, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. Pakistan-mediated diplomacy produced the text after months of intermittent negotiations and prior ceasefires, while both sides have publicly claimed progress and outlined terms including sanctions discussions and restrictions on naval movements. Trader focus centers on whether the planned event meets criteria for a “physically signed” deal versus any prior digital or preliminary versions, with resolution hinging on confirmation of the in-person ceremony and exact documentation. Upcoming verification of attendance and public release of the signed text could shift probabilities ahead of the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
$53,011 交易量
2026-06-19
6月19日
57%
6月30日
60%
$53,011 交易量
6月19日
$25,074 交易量
57%
6月30日
$28,167 交易量
60%
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Iran both physically sign the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
“Physically signs” means that the authorized representatives personally sign the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. An agreement which was previously executed through electronic signature may still be physically signed.
The agreement must be physically signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US and Iranian officials reached a framework memorandum of understanding in mid-June 2026 to halt hostilities from the ongoing conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of follow-on talks on Iran’s nuclear program, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. Pakistan-mediated diplomacy produced the text after months of intermittent negotiations and prior ceasefires, while both sides have publicly claimed progress and outlined terms including sanctions discussions and restrictions on naval movements. Trader focus centers on whether the planned event meets criteria for a “physically signed” deal versus any prior digital or preliminary versions, with resolution hinging on confirmation of the in-person ceremony and exact documentation. Upcoming verification of attendance and public release of the signed text could shift probabilities ahead of the date.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Iran both physically sign the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
“Physically signs” means that the authorized representatives personally sign the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. An agreement which was previously executed through electronic signature may still be physically signed.
The agreement must be physically signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Iran both physically sign the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
“Physically signs” means that the authorized representatives personally sign the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. An agreement which was previously executed through electronic signature may still be physically signed.
The agreement must be physically signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
交易量
$53,011结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Iran both physically sign the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
“Physically signs” means that the authorized representatives personally sign the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. An agreement which was previously executed through electronic signature may still be physically signed.
The agreement must be physically signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US and Iranian officials reached a framework memorandum of understanding in mid-June 2026 to halt hostilities from the ongoing conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of follow-on talks on Iran’s nuclear program, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. Pakistan-mediated diplomacy produced the text after months of intermittent negotiations and prior ceasefires, while both sides have publicly claimed progress and outlined terms including sanctions discussions and restrictions on naval movements. Trader focus centers on whether the planned event meets criteria for a “physically signed” deal versus any prior digital or preliminary versions, with resolution hinging on confirmation of the in-person ceremony and exact documentation. Upcoming verification of attendance and public release of the signed text could shift probabilities ahead of the date.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Iran both physically sign the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
“Physically signs” means that the authorized representatives personally sign the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. An agreement which was previously executed through electronic signature may still be physically signed.
The agreement must be physically signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Iran both physically sign the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
“Physically signs” means that the authorized representatives personally sign the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. An agreement which was previously executed through electronic signature may still be physically signed.
The agreement must be physically signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$53,011结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Iranian officials reached a framework memorandum of understanding in mid-June 2026 to halt hostilities from the ongoing conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of follow-on talks on Iran’s nuclear program, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. Pakistan-mediated diplomacy produced the text after months of intermittent negotiations and prior ceasefires, while both sides have publicly claimed progress and outlined terms including sanctions discussions and restrictions on naval movements. Trader focus centers on whether the planned event meets criteria for a “physically signed” deal versus any prior digital or preliminary versions, with resolution hinging on confirmation of the in-person ceremony and exact documentation. Upcoming verification of attendance and public release of the signed text could shift probabilities ahead of the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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