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icon for 特朗普是否会在周五前公开表扬Mojtaba Khamenei ?

特朗普是否会在周五前公开表扬Mojtaba Khamenei ?

icon for 特朗普是否会在周五前公开表扬Mojtaba Khamenei ?

特朗普是否会在周五前公开表扬Mojtaba Khamenei ?

61% 概率
Polymarket
最新

61% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Trump's recent public statements have shifted trader expectations toward a possible positive remark on Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader, ahead of the June 19 resolution deadline. In early June, during Oval Office remarks and interviews, Trump described a potential meeting with Khamenei as something he would be "honored" to do if it advanced a deal ending the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, while noting the leader's role in negotiations and offering measured openness. This follows earlier March criticism after Khamenei's selection, including expressions of disappointment and skepticism about his ability to govern peacefully. Ongoing diplomatic efforts, including courier-based talks and Trump's references to Khamenei's involvement, have raised the implied probability of public praise to 60 percent among traders assessing short-term rhetorical shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.

Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
交易量
$67
结束日期
2026-06-19
市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 8:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Trump's recent public statements have shifted trader expectations toward a possible positive remark on Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's current Supreme Leader, ahead of the June 19 resolution deadline. In early June, during Oval Office remarks and interviews, Trump described a potential meeting with Khamenei as something he would be "honored" to do if it advanced a deal ending the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, while noting the leader's role in negotiations and offering measured openness. This follows earlier March criticism after Khamenei's selection, including expressions of disappointment and skepticism about his ability to govern peacefully. Ongoing diplomatic efforts, including courier-based talks and Trump's references to Khamenei's involvement, have raised the implied probability of public praise to 60 percent among traders assessing short-term rhetorical shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.

Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
交易量
$67
结束日期
2026-06-19
市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 8:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普是否会在周五前公开表扬Mojtaba Khamenei ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"特朗普会在周五前公开称赞穆吉塔巴·哈梅内伊吗?",概率为 61%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 61¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 61%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"特朗普是否会在周五前公开表扬Mojtaba Khamenei ?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 16, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"特朗普是否会在周五前公开表扬Mojtaba Khamenei ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普是否会在周五前公开表扬Mojtaba Khamenei ?"的当前领先者是"特朗普会在周五前公开称赞穆吉塔巴·哈梅内伊吗?",概率为 61%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 61%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普是否会在周五前公开表扬Mojtaba Khamenei ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。