Recent upward revisions to UK CPI projections, driven by elevated global energy prices from Middle East conflict and resulting imported inflation pressures, underpin the near-even implied probabilities between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.5–2.9% ranges for 2026 annual inflation. June 2026 CPI stood at 2.6%, with core measures easing, yet the Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects a pickup to 3.2% by Q4 amid indirect effects on food and goods prices. Labor market slack may limit second-round wage pressures, creating uncertainty around shock persistence versus base effects. Traders price these dynamics with skin in the game, while upcoming CPI releases and BoE communications through September could shift the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于3.5–3.9% 23.8%
2.5–2.9% 23.4%
4.0-4.4% 9%
4.5%及以上 8%
$55,592 交易量
$55,592 交易量
2027-01-20
低于1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
4%
1.5–1.9%
2%
2.0–2.4%
6%
2.5–2.9%
23%
3.0–3.4%
-
3.5–3.9%
24%
4.0-4.4%
9%
4.5%及以上
8%
3.5–3.9% 23.8%
2.5–2.9% 23.4%
4.0-4.4% 9%
4.5%及以上 8%
$55,592 交易量
$55,592 交易量
2027-01-20
低于1.0%
$876 交易量
<1%
1.0–1.4%
$1,193 交易量
4%
1.5–1.9%
$554 交易量
2%
2.0–2.4%
$4,090 交易量
6%
2.5–2.9%
$13,417 交易量
23%
3.0–3.4%
$0 交易量
-
3.5–3.9%
$22,135 交易量
24%
4.0-4.4%
$5,458 交易量
9%
4.5%及以上
$7,869 交易量
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent upward revisions to UK CPI projections, driven by elevated global energy prices from Middle East conflict and resulting imported inflation pressures, underpin the near-even implied probabilities between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.5–2.9% ranges for 2026 annual inflation. June 2026 CPI stood at 2.6%, with core measures easing, yet the Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects a pickup to 3.2% by Q4 amid indirect effects on food and goods prices. Labor market slack may limit second-round wage pressures, creating uncertainty around shock persistence versus base effects. Traders price these dynamics with skin in the game, while upcoming CPI releases and BoE communications through September could shift the balance.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
市场开放时间： Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
交易量
$55,592结束日期
2027-01-20市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent upward revisions to UK CPI projections, driven by elevated global energy prices from Middle East conflict and resulting imported inflation pressures, underpin the near-even implied probabilities between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.5–2.9% ranges for 2026 annual inflation. June 2026 CPI stood at 2.6%, with core measures easing, yet the Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects a pickup to 3.2% by Q4 amid indirect effects on food and goods prices. Labor market slack may limit second-round wage pressures, creating uncertainty around shock persistence versus base effects. Traders price these dynamics with skin in the game, while upcoming CPI releases and BoE communications through September could shift the balance.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
交易量
$55,592结束日期
2027-01-20市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent upward revisions to UK CPI projections, driven by elevated global energy prices from Middle East conflict and resulting imported inflation pressures, underpin the near-even implied probabilities between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.5–2.9% ranges for 2026 annual inflation. June 2026 CPI stood at 2.6%, with core measures easing, yet the Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects a pickup to 3.2% by Q4 amid indirect effects on food and goods prices. Labor market slack may limit second-round wage pressures, creating uncertainty around shock persistence versus base effects. Traders price these dynamics with skin in the game, while upcoming CPI releases and BoE communications through September could shift the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题