China’s May 2026 CPI release at 1.2% year-over-year, matching April and running just below expectations, has anchored trader sentiment around the 1.1–1.5% annual outcome. Weak domestic demand continues to suppress food prices, especially pork, while non-food and transport components face upward pressure from elevated energy costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Core inflation near 1.1% and a rising but still contained PPI reflect limited pass-through to consumers. Analyst forecasts cluster near 1.0–1.2% for the full year, consistent with subdued household spending and policy caution from the PBoC. Geopolitical energy shocks and any stimulus-driven demand rebound remain the key swing factors that could shift probabilities away from the current leading range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于China Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
1.1 – 1.5% 44%
0.6 – 1.0% 33%
1.6 – 2.0% 4.1%
<-1.0% 3.2%
$45,212 交易量
$45,212 交易量
2027-01-10
<-1.0%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
3%
-0.4 – 0.0%
1%
0.1 – 0.5%
3%
0.6 – 1.0%
33%
1.1 – 1.5%
44%
1.6 – 2.0%
4%
2.0-2.4%
3%
2.5%+
2%
1.1 – 1.5% 44%
0.6 – 1.0% 33%
1.6 – 2.0% 4.1%
<-1.0% 3.2%
$45,212 交易量
$45,212 交易量
2027-01-10
<-1.0%
$18,965 交易量
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$2,730 交易量
3%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$3,781 交易量
1%
0.1 – 0.5%
$2,915 交易量
3%
0.6 – 1.0%
$3,173 交易量
33%
1.1 – 1.5%
$3,728 交易量
44%
1.6 – 2.0%
$4,272 交易量
4%
2.0-2.4%
$3,003 交易量
3%
2.5%+
$2,645 交易量
2%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s May 2026 CPI release at 1.2% year-over-year, matching April and running just below expectations, has anchored trader sentiment around the 1.1–1.5% annual outcome. Weak domestic demand continues to suppress food prices, especially pork, while non-food and transport components face upward pressure from elevated energy costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Core inflation near 1.1% and a rising but still contained PPI reflect limited pass-through to consumers. Analyst forecasts cluster near 1.0–1.2% for the full year, consistent with subdued household spending and policy caution from the PBoC. Geopolitical energy shocks and any stimulus-driven demand rebound remain the key swing factors that could shift probabilities away from the current leading range.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
市场开放时间： Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
交易量
$45,212结束日期
2027-01-10市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s May 2026 CPI release at 1.2% year-over-year, matching April and running just below expectations, has anchored trader sentiment around the 1.1–1.5% annual outcome. Weak domestic demand continues to suppress food prices, especially pork, while non-food and transport components face upward pressure from elevated energy costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Core inflation near 1.1% and a rising but still contained PPI reflect limited pass-through to consumers. Analyst forecasts cluster near 1.0–1.2% for the full year, consistent with subdued household spending and policy caution from the PBoC. Geopolitical energy shocks and any stimulus-driven demand rebound remain the key swing factors that could shift probabilities away from the current leading range.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
交易量
$45,212结束日期
2027-01-10市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China’s May 2026 CPI release at 1.2% year-over-year, matching April and running just below expectations, has anchored trader sentiment around the 1.1–1.5% annual outcome. Weak domestic demand continues to suppress food prices, especially pork, while non-food and transport components face upward pressure from elevated energy costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Core inflation near 1.1% and a rising but still contained PPI reflect limited pass-through to consumers. Analyst forecasts cluster near 1.0–1.2% for the full year, consistent with subdued household spending and policy caution from the PBoC. Geopolitical energy shocks and any stimulus-driven demand rebound remain the key swing factors that could shift probabilities away from the current leading range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题