Recent U.S. economic data, including resilient labor market readings and persistent inflation above the 2% target, have anchored trader expectations for no change at the January 2027 FOMC meeting, reflected in the 57% implied probability. Stronger-than-anticipated GDP growth and moderating but still-elevated core CPI prints have shifted the market-implied rate path toward stability or modest tightening, with a 25 basis point hike priced at 23.5%. Geopolitical factors, such as energy price volatility, and the Fed’s data-dependent stance further support the consensus against near-term easing. Upcoming September and December 2026 meetings, along with revised dot plots, will provide key signals on whether the current 3.50-3.75% target range holds into 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No change 57%
加息25个基点 24%
25 bps decrease 13%
50+ bps decrease 4.6%
$73,646 交易量
$73,646 交易量
2027-01-27
50+ bps decrease
5%
25 bps decrease
13%
No change
57%
加息25个基点
24%
上调50个基点以上
2%
No change 57%
加息25个基点 24%
25 bps decrease 13%
50+ bps decrease 4.6%
$73,646 交易量
$73,646 交易量
2027-01-27
50+ bps decrease
$14,016 交易量
5%
25 bps decrease
$15,550 交易量
13%
No change
$21,495 交易量
57%
加息25个基点
$17,235 交易量
24%
上调50个基点以上
$5,349 交易量
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent U.S. economic data, including resilient labor market readings and persistent inflation above the 2% target, have anchored trader expectations for no change at the January 2027 FOMC meeting, reflected in the 57% implied probability. Stronger-than-anticipated GDP growth and moderating but still-elevated core CPI prints have shifted the market-implied rate path toward stability or modest tightening, with a 25 basis point hike priced at 23.5%. Geopolitical factors, such as energy price volatility, and the Fed’s data-dependent stance further support the consensus against near-term easing. Upcoming September and December 2026 meetings, along with revised dot plots, will provide key signals on whether the current 3.50-3.75% target range holds into 2027.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
交易量
$73,646结束日期
2027-01-27市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent U.S. economic data, including resilient labor market readings and persistent inflation above the 2% target, have anchored trader expectations for no change at the January 2027 FOMC meeting, reflected in the 57% implied probability. Stronger-than-anticipated GDP growth and moderating but still-elevated core CPI prints have shifted the market-implied rate path toward stability or modest tightening, with a 25 basis point hike priced at 23.5%. Geopolitical factors, such as energy price volatility, and the Fed’s data-dependent stance further support the consensus against near-term easing. Upcoming September and December 2026 meetings, along with revised dot plots, will provide key signals on whether the current 3.50-3.75% target range holds into 2027.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$73,646结束日期
2027-01-27市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETRecent U.S. economic data, including resilient labor market readings and persistent inflation above the 2% target, have anchored trader expectations for no change at the January 2027 FOMC meeting, reflected in the 57% implied probability. Stronger-than-anticipated GDP growth and moderating but still-elevated core CPI prints have shifted the market-implied rate path toward stability or modest tightening, with a 25 basis point hike priced at 23.5%. Geopolitical factors, such as energy price volatility, and the Fed’s data-dependent stance further support the consensus against near-term easing. Upcoming September and December 2026 meetings, along with revised dot plots, will provide key signals on whether the current 3.50-3.75% target range holds into 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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