President Trump’s escalating threats to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from the Board of Governors after his chairmanship expires have become the dominant driver of trader sentiment in this market. Powell announced plans to remain on the board for an undetermined period to safeguard central bank independence amid a Department of Justice criminal investigation into headquarters renovations, prompting Trump to state he would fire Powell if he does not depart by the May 15, 2026 deadline. These developments have raised concerns over monetary policy continuity, with markets monitoring potential impacts on interest rate expectations and inflation management. Senate confirmation of Trump’s nominee Kevin Warsh as the next chair and any resolution of the ongoing probe represent key near-term catalysts that could influence the probability of formal removal attempts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于特朗普是否会试图在...之前解雇鲍威尔担任美联储董事会成员？
特朗普是否会试图在...之前解雇鲍威尔担任美联储董事会成员？
$15,174 交易量
2026-12-31
June 30
5%
12月31日
18%
$15,174 交易量
June 30
$8,050 交易量
5%
12月31日
$7,124 交易量
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s escalating threats to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from the Board of Governors after his chairmanship expires have become the dominant driver of trader sentiment in this market. Powell announced plans to remain on the board for an undetermined period to safeguard central bank independence amid a Department of Justice criminal investigation into headquarters renovations, prompting Trump to state he would fire Powell if he does not depart by the May 15, 2026 deadline. These developments have raised concerns over monetary policy continuity, with markets monitoring potential impacts on interest rate expectations and inflation management. Senate confirmation of Trump’s nominee Kevin Warsh as the next chair and any resolution of the ongoing probe represent key near-term catalysts that could influence the probability of formal removal attempts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
交易量
$15,174结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s escalating threats to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from the Board of Governors after his chairmanship expires have become the dominant driver of trader sentiment in this market. Powell announced plans to remain on the board for an undetermined period to safeguard central bank independence amid a Department of Justice criminal investigation into headquarters renovations, prompting Trump to state he would fire Powell if he does not depart by the May 15, 2026 deadline. These developments have raised concerns over monetary policy continuity, with markets monitoring potential impacts on interest rate expectations and inflation management. Senate confirmation of Trump’s nominee Kevin Warsh as the next chair and any resolution of the ongoing probe represent key near-term catalysts that could influence the probability of formal removal attempts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$15,174结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s escalating threats to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from the Board of Governors after his chairmanship expires have become the dominant driver of trader sentiment in this market. Powell announced plans to remain on the board for an undetermined period to safeguard central bank independence amid a Department of Justice criminal investigation into headquarters renovations, prompting Trump to state he would fire Powell if he does not depart by the May 15, 2026 deadline. These developments have raised concerns over monetary policy continuity, with markets monitoring potential impacts on interest rate expectations and inflation management. Senate confirmation of Trump’s nominee Kevin Warsh as the next chair and any resolution of the ongoing probe represent key near-term catalysts that could influence the probability of formal removal attempts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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