The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting, marking the third consecutive pause amid persistent inflation pressures. Yesterday's April CPI release showed a hotter-than-expected 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since May 2023—coupled with a resilient labor market where unemployment held at 4.3% and 115,000 jobs were added. This has lifted CME FedWatch Tool implied probabilities for a rate hike, with markets now pricing around 37% odds of an increase before year-end versus near-zero for the June 16-17 meeting. Traders weigh upcoming PCE inflation data and employment reports as key swing factors in this closely contested outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$148,079 交易量
2026-12-09
六月会议
2%
7月会议
6%
9月会议
18%
十月会议
29%
$148,079 交易量
六月会议
$14,493 交易量
2%
7月会议
$770 交易量
6%
9月会议
$54 交易量
18%
十月会议
$1,454 交易量
29%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting, marking the third consecutive pause amid persistent inflation pressures. Yesterday's April CPI release showed a hotter-than-expected 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since May 2023—coupled with a resilient labor market where unemployment held at 4.3% and 115,000 jobs were added. This has lifted CME FedWatch Tool implied probabilities for a rate hike, with markets now pricing around 37% odds of an increase before year-end versus near-zero for the June 16-17 meeting. Traders weigh upcoming PCE inflation data and employment reports as key swing factors in this closely contested outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$148,079结束日期
2026-10-29市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting, marking the third consecutive pause amid persistent inflation pressures. Yesterday's April CPI release showed a hotter-than-expected 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since May 2023—coupled with a resilient labor market where unemployment held at 4.3% and 115,000 jobs were added. This has lifted CME FedWatch Tool implied probabilities for a rate hike, with markets now pricing around 37% odds of an increase before year-end versus near-zero for the June 16-17 meeting. Traders weigh upcoming PCE inflation data and employment reports as key swing factors in this closely contested outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$148,079结束日期
2026-10-29市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting, marking the third consecutive pause amid persistent inflation pressures. Yesterday's April CPI release showed a hotter-than-expected 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since May 2023—coupled with a resilient labor market where unemployment held at 4.3% and 115,000 jobs were added. This has lifted CME FedWatch Tool implied probabilities for a rate hike, with markets now pricing around 37% odds of an increase before year-end versus near-zero for the June 16-17 meeting. Traders weigh upcoming PCE inflation data and employment reports as key swing factors in this closely contested outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题