The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the July 29, 2026 FOMC meeting in a divided 9-3 vote, with three members favoring an immediate quarter-point hike amid elevated inflation pressures. June CPI rose 3.5% year-over-year, supported by energy price surges tied to geopolitical tensions, while the labor market showed steady job gains and low unemployment. Market-implied odds, reflected in fed funds futures, now incorporate the possibility of one or more rate increases by year-end, contrasting earlier expectations of cuts, as FOMC participants' median projections signal at least one hike. Key upcoming catalysts include the August 27-29 Jackson Hole symposium for policy signals and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where fresh CPI and employment data could shift the balance toward tighter monetary policy if inflation fails to moderate sustainably toward the 2% goal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$2,137,507 交易量
2026-12-09
9月会议
39%
十月会议
50%
$2,137,507 交易量
9月会议
$761,640 交易量
39%
十月会议
$415,867 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the July 29, 2026 FOMC meeting in a divided 9-3 vote, with three members favoring an immediate quarter-point hike amid elevated inflation pressures. June CPI rose 3.5% year-over-year, supported by energy price surges tied to geopolitical tensions, while the labor market showed steady job gains and low unemployment. Market-implied odds, reflected in fed funds futures, now incorporate the possibility of one or more rate increases by year-end, contrasting earlier expectations of cuts, as FOMC participants' median projections signal at least one hike. Key upcoming catalysts include the August 27-29 Jackson Hole symposium for policy signals and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where fresh CPI and employment data could shift the balance toward tighter monetary policy if inflation fails to moderate sustainably toward the 2% goal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$2,137,507结束日期
2026-10-29市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the July 29, 2026 FOMC meeting in a divided 9-3 vote, with three members favoring an immediate quarter-point hike amid elevated inflation pressures. June CPI rose 3.5% year-over-year, supported by energy price surges tied to geopolitical tensions, while the labor market showed steady job gains and low unemployment. Market-implied odds, reflected in fed funds futures, now incorporate the possibility of one or more rate increases by year-end, contrasting earlier expectations of cuts, as FOMC participants' median projections signal at least one hike. Key upcoming catalysts include the August 27-29 Jackson Hole symposium for policy signals and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where fresh CPI and employment data could shift the balance toward tighter monetary policy if inflation fails to moderate sustainably toward the 2% goal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,137,507结束日期
2026-10-29市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the July 29, 2026 FOMC meeting in a divided 9-3 vote, with three members favoring an immediate quarter-point hike amid elevated inflation pressures. June CPI rose 3.5% year-over-year, supported by energy price surges tied to geopolitical tensions, while the labor market showed steady job gains and low unemployment. Market-implied odds, reflected in fed funds futures, now incorporate the possibility of one or more rate increases by year-end, contrasting earlier expectations of cuts, as FOMC participants' median projections signal at least one hike. Key upcoming catalysts include the August 27-29 Jackson Hole symposium for policy signals and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where fresh CPI and employment data could shift the balance toward tighter monetary policy if inflation fails to moderate sustainably toward the 2% goal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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