Strong market-implied odds favoring zero dissents at the June FOMC meeting reflect expectations of restored committee unity after April’s record four-vote split against the statement’s easing bias. That April outcome, the largest since 1992, arose when regional presidents including Lorie Logan, Neel Kashkari, and Beth Hammack objected to language signaling a potential rate cut amid inflation still above the 2 percent target and rising energy prices. Recent April jobs data showing 115,000 payroll gains and a steady 4.3 percent unemployment rate have eased pressure for immediate easing, while Cleveland Fed CPI forecasts point to firmer readings near 4.2 percent year-over-year. Traders now price limited scope for renewed fractures ahead of the June 16-17 decision, with upcoming May inflation prints and any further Fed communications serving as key swing factors before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 66%
2 22%
1 17%
3 8%
$17,896 交易量
$17,896 交易量
0
69%
1
17%
2
14%
3
8%
4+
2%
0 66%
2 22%
1 17%
3 8%
$17,896 交易量
$17,896 交易量
0
69%
1
17%
2
14%
3
8%
4+
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong market-implied odds favoring zero dissents at the June FOMC meeting reflect expectations of restored committee unity after April’s record four-vote split against the statement’s easing bias. That April outcome, the largest since 1992, arose when regional presidents including Lorie Logan, Neel Kashkari, and Beth Hammack objected to language signaling a potential rate cut amid inflation still above the 2 percent target and rising energy prices. Recent April jobs data showing 115,000 payroll gains and a steady 4.3 percent unemployment rate have eased pressure for immediate easing, while Cleveland Fed CPI forecasts point to firmer readings near 4.2 percent year-over-year. Traders now price limited scope for renewed fractures ahead of the June 16-17 decision, with upcoming May inflation prints and any further Fed communications serving as key swing factors before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题