Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15, 2026, triggering the market’s focus on departure timing. On April 29 he confirmed he would step down from the chair role but remain on the Board of Governors temporarily amid ongoing investigations into Fed headquarters renovations and external political pressure for rate cuts. The Senate Banking Committee advanced Kevin Warsh’s nomination as successor, with full Senate confirmation occurring days before the deadline, enabling a swift transition. Powell was then named chair pro tempore to bridge the gap until Warsh’s swearing-in. These developments reflect standard term-limit mechanics combined with accelerated Senate action, shaping trader expectations around the precise cutoff date for formal departure from the chair position.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$107,560 交易量
5月15日
1%
May 16
3%
June 30
97%
May 31
94%
$107,560 交易量
5月15日
1%
May 16
3%
June 30
97%
May 31
94%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 27, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15, 2026, triggering the market’s focus on departure timing. On April 29 he confirmed he would step down from the chair role but remain on the Board of Governors temporarily amid ongoing investigations into Fed headquarters renovations and external political pressure for rate cuts. The Senate Banking Committee advanced Kevin Warsh’s nomination as successor, with full Senate confirmation occurring days before the deadline, enabling a swift transition. Powell was then named chair pro tempore to bridge the gap until Warsh’s swearing-in. These developments reflect standard term-limit mechanics combined with accelerated Senate action, shaping trader expectations around the precise cutoff date for formal departure from the chair position.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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