Skip to main content
icon for Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

icon for Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

$107,560 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$107,560 交易量

Polymarket

5月15日

$24,579 交易量

1%

May 16

$55,950 交易量

3%

June 30

$15,853 交易量

97%

May 31

$11,443 交易量

94%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15, 2026, triggering the market’s focus on departure timing. On April 29 he confirmed he would step down from the chair role but remain on the Board of Governors temporarily amid ongoing investigations into Fed headquarters renovations and external political pressure for rate cuts. The Senate Banking Committee advanced Kevin Warsh’s nomination as successor, with full Senate confirmation occurring days before the deadline, enabling a swift transition. Powell was then named chair pro tempore to bridge the gap until Warsh’s swearing-in. These developments reflect standard term-limit mechanics combined with accelerated Senate action, shaping trader expectations around the precise cutoff date for formal departure from the chair position.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.

The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.

This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$107,560
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 否

争议期

最终

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15, 2026, triggering the market’s focus on departure timing. On April 29 he confirmed he would step down from the chair role but remain on the Board of Governors temporarily amid ongoing investigations into Fed headquarters renovations and external political pressure for rate cuts. The Senate Banking Committee advanced Kevin Warsh’s nomination as successor, with full Senate confirmation occurring days before the deadline, enabling a swift transition. Powell was then named chair pro tempore to bridge the gap until Warsh’s swearing-in. These developments reflect standard term-limit mechanics combined with accelerated Senate action, shaping trader expectations around the precise cutoff date for formal departure from the chair position.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.

The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.

This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$107,560
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 否

争议期

最终

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"June 30",概率为 97%,其次是"May 31",概率为 94%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 97¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 97%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?"已产生 $107.6K 的总交易量(自Apr 16, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?"的当前领先者是"June 30",概率为 97%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 97%。紧随其后的结果是"May 31",概率为 94%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。