Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 66.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate hike throughout 2026, as the April FOMC maintained the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% amid elevated inflation partly from Middle East-driven energy shocks. Headline CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year with a 0.6% monthly rise, fueled by 3.8% energy gains, though core CPI held at 2.8% YoY, signaling contained underlying pressures alongside March core PCE at 3.2%. Softening labor dynamics—April nonfarm payrolls at 115,000 and unemployment steady at 4.3%—bolster the no-hike base case despite recent dissent on easing bias. Upcoming May CPI and June FOMC loom as pivotal catalysts for sentiment shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$1,094,650 交易量
$1,094,650 交易量
2026-12-09
是
$1,094,650 交易量
$1,094,650 交易量
2026-12-09
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 66.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate hike throughout 2026, as the April FOMC maintained the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% amid elevated inflation partly from Middle East-driven energy shocks. Headline CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year with a 0.6% monthly rise, fueled by 3.8% energy gains, though core CPI held at 2.8% YoY, signaling contained underlying pressures alongside March core PCE at 3.2%. Softening labor dynamics—April nonfarm payrolls at 115,000 and unemployment steady at 4.3%—bolster the no-hike base case despite recent dissent on easing bias. Upcoming May CPI and June FOMC loom as pivotal catalysts for sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
交易量
$1,094,650结束日期
2026-12-09市场开放时间
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 66.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate hike throughout 2026, as the April FOMC maintained the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% amid elevated inflation partly from Middle East-driven energy shocks. Headline CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year with a 0.6% monthly rise, fueled by 3.8% energy gains, though core CPI held at 2.8% YoY, signaling contained underlying pressures alongside March core PCE at 3.2%. Softening labor dynamics—April nonfarm payrolls at 115,000 and unemployment steady at 4.3%—bolster the no-hike base case despite recent dissent on easing bias. Upcoming May CPI and June FOMC loom as pivotal catalysts for sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,094,650结束日期
2026-12-09市场开放时间
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 66.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate hike throughout 2026, as the April FOMC maintained the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% amid elevated inflation partly from Middle East-driven energy shocks. Headline CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year with a 0.6% monthly rise, fueled by 3.8% energy gains, though core CPI held at 2.8% YoY, signaling contained underlying pressures alongside March core PCE at 3.2%. Softening labor dynamics—April nonfarm payrolls at 115,000 and unemployment steady at 4.3%—bolster the no-hike base case despite recent dissent on easing bias. Upcoming May CPI and June FOMC loom as pivotal catalysts for sentiment shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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