Elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, driven by energy prices and supply shocks, alongside a resilient labor market, has kept the possibility of a 2026 rate hike alive even as the federal funds rate remains at 3.50%-3.75%. Recent July CPI data showed modest cooling that trimmed near-term hike odds, yet nine FOMC participants projected at least one increase by year-end in the June dot plot. This balance reflects trader views that persistent price pressures could prompt action while softer incoming readings and the Fed’s data-dependent stance support holding steady. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release, September FOMC meeting, and labor market reports that could shift market-implied odds decisively.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
50% 概率
$7,448,789 交易量
$7,448,789 交易量
2026-12-09
是
50% 概率
$7,448,789 交易量
$7,448,789 交易量
2026-12-09
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, driven by energy prices and supply shocks, alongside a resilient labor market, has kept the possibility of a 2026 rate hike alive even as the federal funds rate remains at 3.50%-3.75%. Recent July CPI data showed modest cooling that trimmed near-term hike odds, yet nine FOMC participants projected at least one increase by year-end in the June dot plot. This balance reflects trader views that persistent price pressures could prompt action while softer incoming readings and the Fed’s data-dependent stance support holding steady. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release, September FOMC meeting, and labor market reports that could shift market-implied odds decisively.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
交易量
$7,448,789结束日期
2026-12-09市场开放时间
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, driven by energy prices and supply shocks, alongside a resilient labor market, has kept the possibility of a 2026 rate hike alive even as the federal funds rate remains at 3.50%-3.75%. Recent July CPI data showed modest cooling that trimmed near-term hike odds, yet nine FOMC participants projected at least one increase by year-end in the June dot plot. This balance reflects trader views that persistent price pressures could prompt action while softer incoming readings and the Fed’s data-dependent stance support holding steady. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release, September FOMC meeting, and labor market reports that could shift market-implied odds decisively.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,448,789结束日期
2026-12-09市场开放时间
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, driven by energy prices and supply shocks, alongside a resilient labor market, has kept the possibility of a 2026 rate hike alive even as the federal funds rate remains at 3.50%-3.75%. Recent July CPI data showed modest cooling that trimmed near-term hike odds, yet nine FOMC participants projected at least one increase by year-end in the June dot plot. This balance reflects trader views that persistent price pressures could prompt action while softer incoming readings and the Fed’s data-dependent stance support holding steady. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release, September FOMC meeting, and labor market reports that could shift market-implied odds decisively.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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