Recent moderation in July CPI to 3.4% year-over-year, alongside softer July jobs data, has kept the implied odds for any 2026 federal funds rate increase near even at the current 3.50–3.75% target range. Persistent inflation above the 2% goal, energy price volatility, and select FOMC members’ June dot-plot projections for one hike this year counterbalance labor-market cooling and reduced near-term hike probabilities in futures markets. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting, upcoming August CPI release, and subsequent employment reports will likely determine whether policy expectations shift decisively toward or away from tightening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
50% 概率
$7,448,789 交易量
$7,448,789 交易量
2026-12-09
是
50% 概率
$7,448,789 交易量
$7,448,789 交易量
2026-12-09
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent moderation in July CPI to 3.4% year-over-year, alongside softer July jobs data, has kept the implied odds for any 2026 federal funds rate increase near even at the current 3.50–3.75% target range. Persistent inflation above the 2% goal, energy price volatility, and select FOMC members’ June dot-plot projections for one hike this year counterbalance labor-market cooling and reduced near-term hike probabilities in futures markets. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting, upcoming August CPI release, and subsequent employment reports will likely determine whether policy expectations shift decisively toward or away from tightening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
交易量
$7,448,789结束日期
2026-12-09市场开放时间
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent moderation in July CPI to 3.4% year-over-year, alongside softer July jobs data, has kept the implied odds for any 2026 federal funds rate increase near even at the current 3.50–3.75% target range. Persistent inflation above the 2% goal, energy price volatility, and select FOMC members’ June dot-plot projections for one hike this year counterbalance labor-market cooling and reduced near-term hike probabilities in futures markets. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting, upcoming August CPI release, and subsequent employment reports will likely determine whether policy expectations shift decisively toward or away from tightening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,448,791结束日期
2026-12-09市场开放时间
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent moderation in July CPI to 3.4% year-over-year, alongside softer July jobs data, has kept the implied odds for any 2026 federal funds rate increase near even at the current 3.50–3.75% target range. Persistent inflation above the 2% goal, energy price volatility, and select FOMC members’ June dot-plot projections for one hike this year counterbalance labor-market cooling and reduced near-term hike probabilities in futures markets. The September 15–16 FOMC meeting, upcoming August CPI release, and subsequent employment reports will likely determine whether policy expectations shift decisively toward or away from tightening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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