Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, anchored by sustained economic resilience and the Fed's steady policy stance at the 3.5%-3.75% federal funds rate following its April 2026 meeting. Robust labor market data, with unemployment hovering near 4%, and subdued recession odds below 20% have quelled crisis fears, while rising Treasury yields—10-year at 4.48% and 30-year at 5.04%—signal persistent inflation pressures incompatible with aggressive easing. Markets now price 60-70% odds of zero cuts throughout 2026, emphasizing scheduled FOMC decisions over unscheduled interventions. Upcoming May jobs figures and the June meeting loom as pivotal tests, though financial stability metrics show no distress warranting emergency action.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$103,984 交易量
$103,984 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$103,984 交易量
$103,984 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, anchored by sustained economic resilience and the Fed's steady policy stance at the 3.5%-3.75% federal funds rate following its April 2026 meeting. Robust labor market data, with unemployment hovering near 4%, and subdued recession odds below 20% have quelled crisis fears, while rising Treasury yields—10-year at 4.48% and 30-year at 5.04%—signal persistent inflation pressures incompatible with aggressive easing. Markets now price 60-70% odds of zero cuts throughout 2026, emphasizing scheduled FOMC decisions over unscheduled interventions. Upcoming May jobs figures and the June meeting loom as pivotal tests, though financial stability metrics show no distress warranting emergency action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
交易量
$103,984结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, anchored by sustained economic resilience and the Fed's steady policy stance at the 3.5%-3.75% federal funds rate following its April 2026 meeting. Robust labor market data, with unemployment hovering near 4%, and subdued recession odds below 20% have quelled crisis fears, while rising Treasury yields—10-year at 4.48% and 30-year at 5.04%—signal persistent inflation pressures incompatible with aggressive easing. Markets now price 60-70% odds of zero cuts throughout 2026, emphasizing scheduled FOMC decisions over unscheduled interventions. Upcoming May jobs figures and the June meeting loom as pivotal tests, though financial stability metrics show no distress warranting emergency action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
交易量
$103,984结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, anchored by sustained economic resilience and the Fed's steady policy stance at the 3.5%-3.75% federal funds rate following its April 2026 meeting. Robust labor market data, with unemployment hovering near 4%, and subdued recession odds below 20% have quelled crisis fears, while rising Treasury yields—10-year at 4.48% and 30-year at 5.04%—signal persistent inflation pressures incompatible with aggressive easing. Markets now price 60-70% odds of zero cuts throughout 2026, emphasizing scheduled FOMC decisions over unscheduled interventions. Upcoming May jobs figures and the June meeting loom as pivotal tests, though financial stability metrics show no distress warranting emergency action.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题