Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly restrictions on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz amid U.S.-Iran frictions, have emerged as the dominant driver lifting WTI crude prices toward the $100–$104 range in mid-May 2026. Record global inventory draws of roughly 246 million barrels over the prior two months, combined with Saudi output at its lowest level since 1990, have tightened near-term balances and steepened backwardation in the futures curve. Offsetting these pressures are elevated U.S. energy exports and signs of easing Hormuz disruptions, which markets interpret as capping upside. Traders are monitoring the next EIA weekly petroleum status report and the June OPEC+ ministerial meeting for signals on supply adjustments, while broader demand softness from China and robust U.S. production growth continue to shape the risk-reward profile for May price outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,914,090 交易量
↑ 200美元
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
3%
↑ $130
12%
↑ 120美元
21%
↑ $115
36%
↑ $110
55%
↑ $105
82%
↓ 95美元
63%
↓ $90
37%
↓ $85
22%
↓ 80美元
12%
↓ 70美元
3%
↓ 60美元
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ 50美元
1%
↓ 30美元
<1%
$17,914,090 交易量
↑ 200美元
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
3%
↑ $130
12%
↑ 120美元
21%
↑ $115
36%
↑ $110
55%
↑ $105
82%
↓ 95美元
63%
↓ $90
37%
↓ $85
22%
↓ 80美元
12%
↓ 70美元
3%
↓ 60美元
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ 50美元
1%
↓ 30美元
<1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
市场开放时间: Apr 30, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly restrictions on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz amid U.S.-Iran frictions, have emerged as the dominant driver lifting WTI crude prices toward the $100–$104 range in mid-May 2026. Record global inventory draws of roughly 246 million barrels over the prior two months, combined with Saudi output at its lowest level since 1990, have tightened near-term balances and steepened backwardation in the futures curve. Offsetting these pressures are elevated U.S. energy exports and signs of easing Hormuz disruptions, which markets interpret as capping upside. Traders are monitoring the next EIA weekly petroleum status report and the June OPEC+ ministerial meeting for signals on supply adjustments, while broader demand softness from China and robust U.S. production growth continue to shape the risk-reward profile for May price outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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