Cerebras' S-1 filing on May 11 solidified 100% market-implied odds for its pre-2027 IPO, highlighting renewed momentum in the AI hardware sector amid surging demand for custom chips. SpaceX follows at 94% trader consensus for a late-2026 listing, buoyed by reports of a potential $1.75 trillion valuation despite market volatility risks. Anthropic's 67% probability reflects closing revenue gaps with OpenAI via enterprise AI deals, while OpenAI odds fell to 36% after CFO Sarah Friar's May push for a 2027 debut to manage massive compute spending. Lower probabilities for Databricks (16%) and Stripe (10%) stem from valuation pressures and delayed timelines. Traders eye Q2 earnings, confidential filings, and developer conferences as pivotal catalysts through year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$6,200,638 交易量
2026-12-31
Cerebras
100%
SpaceX
95%
Anthropic
63%
Discord
52%
OpenAI
32%
远程
31%
Deel
21%
Anduril
20%
Epic Games
17%
Mistral AI
16%
Rippling
15%
Databricks
15%
Applied Intuition
15%
字节跳动
13%
SHEIN
13%
Glean
12%
房利美
12%
Freddie Mac
11%
Ledger
11%
WHOOP
13%
Ramp
11%
Anduril Industries
10%
瑞波实验室
9%
Vanta
9%
Stripe
9%
Celonis
7%
Revolut
7%
Anysphere（Cursor）
7%
Waymo
6%
Canva
5%
Brex
1%
$6,200,638 交易量
Cerebras
$423,390 交易量
100%
SpaceX
$572,025 交易量
95%
Anthropic
$224,745 交易量
63%
Discord
$445,627 交易量
52%
OpenAI
$232,995 交易量
32%
远程
$54,425 交易量
31%
Deel
$121,830 交易量
21%
Anduril
$351,453 交易量
20%
Epic Games
$73,290 交易量
17%
Mistral AI
$148,537 交易量
16%
Rippling
$117,247 交易量
15%
Databricks
$467,927 交易量
15%
Applied Intuition
$191,750 交易量
15%
字节跳动
$10,461 交易量
13%
SHEIN
$78,463 交易量
13%
Glean
$44,644 交易量
12%
房利美
$161,250 交易量
12%
Freddie Mac
$244,611 交易量
11%
Ledger
$509,649 交易量
11%
WHOOP
$178 交易量
13%
Ramp
$144,033 交易量
11%
Anduril Industries
$31,346 交易量
10%
瑞波实验室
$145,650 交易量
9%
Vanta
$130,411 交易量
9%
Stripe
$250,193 交易量
9%
Celonis
$207,858 交易量
7%
Revolut
$56,710 交易量
7%
Anysphere（Cursor）
$97,073 交易量
7%
Waymo
$52,146 交易量
6%
Canva
$35,637 交易量
5%
Brex
$214,423 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Cerebras' S-1 filing on May 11 solidified 100% market-implied odds for its pre-2027 IPO, highlighting renewed momentum in the AI hardware sector amid surging demand for custom chips. SpaceX follows at 94% trader consensus for a late-2026 listing, buoyed by reports of a potential $1.75 trillion valuation despite market volatility risks. Anthropic's 67% probability reflects closing revenue gaps with OpenAI via enterprise AI deals, while OpenAI odds fell to 36% after CFO Sarah Friar's May push for a 2027 debut to manage massive compute spending. Lower probabilities for Databricks (16%) and Stripe (10%) stem from valuation pressures and delayed timelines. Traders eye Q2 earnings, confidential filings, and developer conferences as pivotal catalysts through year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$6,200,638结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Cerebras' S-1 filing on May 11 solidified 100% market-implied odds for its pre-2027 IPO, highlighting renewed momentum in the AI hardware sector amid surging demand for custom chips. SpaceX follows at 94% trader consensus for a late-2026 listing, buoyed by reports of a potential $1.75 trillion valuation despite market volatility risks. Anthropic's 67% probability reflects closing revenue gaps with OpenAI via enterprise AI deals, while OpenAI odds fell to 36% after CFO Sarah Friar's May push for a 2027 debut to manage massive compute spending. Lower probabilities for Databricks (16%) and Stripe (10%) stem from valuation pressures and delayed timelines. Traders eye Q2 earnings, confidential filings, and developer conferences as pivotal catalysts through year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,200,638结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cerebras' S-1 filing on May 11 solidified 100% market-implied odds for its pre-2027 IPO, highlighting renewed momentum in the AI hardware sector amid surging demand for custom chips. SpaceX follows at 94% trader consensus for a late-2026 listing, buoyed by reports of a potential $1.75 trillion valuation despite market volatility risks. Anthropic's 67% probability reflects closing revenue gaps with OpenAI via enterprise AI deals, while OpenAI odds fell to 36% after CFO Sarah Friar's May push for a 2027 debut to manage massive compute spending. Lower probabilities for Databricks (16%) and Stripe (10%) stem from valuation pressures and delayed timelines. Traders eye Q2 earnings, confidential filings, and developer conferences as pivotal catalysts through year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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