Goldman Sachs holds an 83.5% market-implied probability of serving as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, reflecting its recent selection as lead left on the SpaceX offering and its role as primary bookrunner alongside Morgan Stanley in OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing. Traders cite Goldman’s dominant track record in major technology IPOs and allocation influence as key advantages in the “lead left” contest, while Morgan Stanley’s 12.5% odds reflect its comparable but secondary positioning in both OpenAI and Anthropic preparations. The September 2026 announcement that OpenAI will prioritize artificial intelligence safety work and delay any listing until 2027 has not altered the banking lineup but underscores the extended timeline for finalizing underwriting roles ahead of a potential 2027 debut.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs 84%
Morgan Stanley 13%
Bank of America 1.0%
JPMorgan <1%
$51,372 交易量
$51,372 交易量
2027-12-30
Goldman Sachs
84%
Morgan Stanley
13%
Bank of America
1%
JPMorgan
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Goldman Sachs 84%
Morgan Stanley 13%
Bank of America 1.0%
JPMorgan <1%
$51,372 交易量
$51,372 交易量
2027-12-30
Goldman Sachs
$14,250 交易量
84%
Morgan Stanley
$8,600 交易量
13%
Bank of America
$2,483 交易量
1%
JPMorgan
$3,929 交易量
<1%
Citigroup
$2,649 交易量
<1%
Barclays
$3,599 交易量
<1%
UBS
$3,544 交易量
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$9,084 交易量
<1%
Wells Fargo
$3,234 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds an 83.5% market-implied probability of serving as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, reflecting its recent selection as lead left on the SpaceX offering and its role as primary bookrunner alongside Morgan Stanley in OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing. Traders cite Goldman’s dominant track record in major technology IPOs and allocation influence as key advantages in the “lead left” contest, while Morgan Stanley’s 12.5% odds reflect its comparable but secondary positioning in both OpenAI and Anthropic preparations. The September 2026 announcement that OpenAI will prioritize artificial intelligence safety work and delay any listing until 2027 has not altered the banking lineup but underscores the extended timeline for finalizing underwriting roles ahead of a potential 2027 debut.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
交易量
$51,372结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds an 83.5% market-implied probability of serving as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, reflecting its recent selection as lead left on the SpaceX offering and its role as primary bookrunner alongside Morgan Stanley in OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing. Traders cite Goldman’s dominant track record in major technology IPOs and allocation influence as key advantages in the “lead left” contest, while Morgan Stanley’s 12.5% odds reflect its comparable but secondary positioning in both OpenAI and Anthropic preparations. The September 2026 announcement that OpenAI will prioritize artificial intelligence safety work and delay any listing until 2027 has not altered the banking lineup but underscores the extended timeline for finalizing underwriting roles ahead of a potential 2027 debut.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$51,372结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETGoldman Sachs holds an 83.5% market-implied probability of serving as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, reflecting its recent selection as lead left on the SpaceX offering and its role as primary bookrunner alongside Morgan Stanley in OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing. Traders cite Goldman’s dominant track record in major technology IPOs and allocation influence as key advantages in the “lead left” contest, while Morgan Stanley’s 12.5% odds reflect its comparable but secondary positioning in both OpenAI and Anthropic preparations. The September 2026 announcement that OpenAI will prioritize artificial intelligence safety work and delay any listing until 2027 has not altered the banking lineup but underscores the extended timeline for finalizing underwriting roles ahead of a potential 2027 debut.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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