Goldman Sachs holds an 82.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, reflecting its recent selection as lead-left bookrunner on the SpaceX offering and primary role alongside Morgan Stanley in OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing earlier this year. Traders view Goldman’s dominant position in major tech debuts and execution track record as decisive advantages for securing the top billing on the final prospectus. Morgan Stanley, at 12.5%, remains a close competitor through its co-lead involvement but trails on recent precedent. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 2026 statement deferring any listing until after 2026 due to AI safety priorities has introduced timeline uncertainty without altering bank positioning, while secondary syndicate members like JPMorgan and Bank of America show minimal odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs 83%
Morgan Stanley 13%
Bank of America 1.0%
JPMorgan <1%
$51,422 交易量
$51,422 交易量
2027-12-30
Goldman Sachs
83%
Morgan Stanley
13%
Bank of America
1%
JPMorgan
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Goldman Sachs 83%
Morgan Stanley 13%
Bank of America 1.0%
JPMorgan <1%
$51,422 交易量
$51,422 交易量
2027-12-30
Goldman Sachs
$14,300 交易量
83%
Morgan Stanley
$8,600 交易量
13%
Bank of America
$2,483 交易量
1%
JPMorgan
$3,929 交易量
<1%
Citigroup
$2,649 交易量
<1%
Barclays
$3,599 交易量
<1%
UBS
$3,544 交易量
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$9,084 交易量
<1%
Wells Fargo
$3,234 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds an 82.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, reflecting its recent selection as lead-left bookrunner on the SpaceX offering and primary role alongside Morgan Stanley in OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing earlier this year. Traders view Goldman’s dominant position in major tech debuts and execution track record as decisive advantages for securing the top billing on the final prospectus. Morgan Stanley, at 12.5%, remains a close competitor through its co-lead involvement but trails on recent precedent. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 2026 statement deferring any listing until after 2026 due to AI safety priorities has introduced timeline uncertainty without altering bank positioning, while secondary syndicate members like JPMorgan and Bank of America show minimal odds.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
交易量
$51,422结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds an 82.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, reflecting its recent selection as lead-left bookrunner on the SpaceX offering and primary role alongside Morgan Stanley in OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing earlier this year. Traders view Goldman’s dominant position in major tech debuts and execution track record as decisive advantages for securing the top billing on the final prospectus. Morgan Stanley, at 12.5%, remains a close competitor through its co-lead involvement but trails on recent precedent. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 2026 statement deferring any listing until after 2026 due to AI safety priorities has introduced timeline uncertainty without altering bank positioning, while secondary syndicate members like JPMorgan and Bank of America show minimal odds.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$51,422结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETGoldman Sachs holds an 82.5% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, reflecting its recent selection as lead-left bookrunner on the SpaceX offering and primary role alongside Morgan Stanley in OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing earlier this year. Traders view Goldman’s dominant position in major tech debuts and execution track record as decisive advantages for securing the top billing on the final prospectus. Morgan Stanley, at 12.5%, remains a close competitor through its co-lead involvement but trails on recent precedent. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s September 2026 statement deferring any listing until after 2026 due to AI safety priorities has introduced timeline uncertainty without altering bank positioning, while secondary syndicate members like JPMorgan and Bank of America show minimal odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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