Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability in the Polymarket for lead-left underwriter on OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its recent selection for the same role on SpaceX’s offering and established advisory work with OpenAI and rival Anthropic. Both AI labs have engaged Goldman and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners ahead of anticipated 2026 debuts targeting valuations exceeding $850 billion, with OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing submitted in early June accelerating preparations for a potential September launch. Traders weigh Goldman’s execution track record in large-scale technology listings against Morgan Stanley’s competitive positioning, while smaller probabilities for UBS, JPMorgan, and others reflect limited recent involvement in these AI-specific mandates. Key near-term catalysts include further prospectus details and any shifts in bookrunner hierarchy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Goldman Sachs 71%
Morgan Stanley 7%
UBS 4.9%
Deutsche Bank 3.9%
$21,601 交易量
$21,601 交易量
2027-12-31
Goldman Sachs
71%
Morgan Stanley
7%
UBS
5%
Deutsche Bank
4%
Wells Fargo
3%
JPMorgan
3%
Barclays
2%
Bank of America
1%
Citigroup
1%
Goldman Sachs 71%
Morgan Stanley 7%
UBS 4.9%
Deutsche Bank 3.9%
$21,601 交易量
$21,601 交易量
2027-12-31
Goldman Sachs
$2,625 交易量
71%
Morgan Stanley
$2,513 交易量
7%
UBS
$2,059 交易量
5%
Deutsche Bank
$7,131 交易量
4%
Wells Fargo
$1,665 交易量
3%
JPMorgan
$1,852 交易量
3%
Barclays
$1,458 交易量
2%
Bank of America
$1,016 交易量
1%
Citigroup
$1,282 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability in the Polymarket for lead-left underwriter on OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its recent selection for the same role on SpaceX’s offering and established advisory work with OpenAI and rival Anthropic. Both AI labs have engaged Goldman and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners ahead of anticipated 2026 debuts targeting valuations exceeding $850 billion, with OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing submitted in early June accelerating preparations for a potential September launch. Traders weigh Goldman’s execution track record in large-scale technology listings against Morgan Stanley’s competitive positioning, while smaller probabilities for UBS, JPMorgan, and others reflect limited recent involvement in these AI-specific mandates. Key near-term catalysts include further prospectus details and any shifts in bookrunner hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
交易量
$21,601结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability in the Polymarket for lead-left underwriter on OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its recent selection for the same role on SpaceX’s offering and established advisory work with OpenAI and rival Anthropic. Both AI labs have engaged Goldman and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners ahead of anticipated 2026 debuts targeting valuations exceeding $850 billion, with OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing submitted in early June accelerating preparations for a potential September launch. Traders weigh Goldman’s execution track record in large-scale technology listings against Morgan Stanley’s competitive positioning, while smaller probabilities for UBS, JPMorgan, and others reflect limited recent involvement in these AI-specific mandates. Key near-term catalysts include further prospectus details and any shifts in bookrunner hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$21,601结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability in the Polymarket for lead-left underwriter on OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its recent selection for the same role on SpaceX’s offering and established advisory work with OpenAI and rival Anthropic. Both AI labs have engaged Goldman and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners ahead of anticipated 2026 debuts targeting valuations exceeding $850 billion, with OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing submitted in early June accelerating preparations for a potential September launch. Traders weigh Goldman’s execution track record in large-scale technology listings against Morgan Stanley’s competitive positioning, while smaller probabilities for UBS, JPMorgan, and others reflect limited recent involvement in these AI-specific mandates. Key near-term catalysts include further prospectus details and any shifts in bookrunner hierarchy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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