Apple holds a 95% implied probability of ranking as the second-largest company by market capitalization at the end of September, driven by its resilient hardware and services revenue streams alongside steady AI feature rollouts in iOS and macOS. Traders view the company's diversified ecosystem and strong balance sheet as buffers against volatility seen in pure-play AI names like NVIDIA. Near-term catalysts include the September earnings release and any hardware refreshes, though a sharp regulatory ruling on App Store practices or unexpected iPhone demand shortfall could introduce downside risk to the current consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Apple 95%
NVIDIA 2.3%
Alphabet 1.4%
Microsoft <1%
$136,657 交易量
$136,657 交易量
2026-09-30
Apple
95%
NVIDIA
2%
Alphabet
1%
Microsoft
<1%
Tesla
<1%
Saudi Aramco
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Broadcom
<1%
SpaceX
<1%
Apple 95%
NVIDIA 2.3%
Alphabet 1.4%
Microsoft <1%
$136,657 交易量
$136,657 交易量
2026-09-30
Apple
$41,339 交易量
95%
NVIDIA
$36,318 交易量
2%
Alphabet
$22,580 交易量
1%
Microsoft
$18,520 交易量
<1%
Tesla
$846 交易量
<1%
Saudi Aramco
$7,362 交易量
<1%
Amazon
$6,831 交易量
<1%
Broadcom
$2,081 交易量
<1%
SpaceX
$781 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Apple holds a 95% implied probability of ranking as the second-largest company by market capitalization at the end of September, driven by its resilient hardware and services revenue streams alongside steady AI feature rollouts in iOS and macOS. Traders view the company's diversified ecosystem and strong balance sheet as buffers against volatility seen in pure-play AI names like NVIDIA. Near-term catalysts include the September earnings release and any hardware refreshes, though a sharp regulatory ruling on App Store practices or unexpected iPhone demand shortfall could introduce downside risk to the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$136,657结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 6:38 PM ETThis market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Apple holds a 95% implied probability of ranking as the second-largest company by market capitalization at the end of September, driven by its resilient hardware and services revenue streams alongside steady AI feature rollouts in iOS and macOS. Traders view the company's diversified ecosystem and strong balance sheet as buffers against volatility seen in pure-play AI names like NVIDIA. Near-term catalysts include the September earnings release and any hardware refreshes, though a sharp regulatory ruling on App Store practices or unexpected iPhone demand shortfall could introduce downside risk to the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$136,657结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 6:38 PM ETApple holds a 95% implied probability of ranking as the second-largest company by market capitalization at the end of September, driven by its resilient hardware and services revenue streams alongside steady AI feature rollouts in iOS and macOS. Traders view the company's diversified ecosystem and strong balance sheet as buffers against volatility seen in pure-play AI names like NVIDIA. Near-term catalysts include the September earnings release and any hardware refreshes, though a sharp regulatory ruling on App Store practices or unexpected iPhone demand shortfall could introduce downside risk to the current consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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