Anthropic holds the highest implied probability at 50.5% for second place in Code Arena WebDev by end of November, reflecting its Claude Fable 5.1 model's recent near-top ranking just behind OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra on the crowdsourced Elo-style leaderboard. This positioning stems from Anthropic’s consistent strength in agentic coding workflows, multi-step frontend tasks, and tool use, with scores clustering tightly among mid-tier labs like Alibaba, Moonshot, and Meta. OpenAI’s early September launch solidified first place, while open-weight contenders such as DeepSeek and Z.ai show rapid gains on cost-adjusted benchmarks but trail in overall votes. Traders appear focused on whether Anthropic can maintain its edge through November or if faster iterations from Google, Tencent, or others will shift the hierarchy before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic 51%
OpenAI 17%
谷歌 14%
SpaceXAI 12.4%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
Anthropic
51%
OpenAI
17%
谷歌
13%
SpaceXAI
12%
腾讯
11%
DeepSeek
9%
Z.ai
8%
Meta
8%
MiniMax
5%
阿里巴巴
4%
字节跳动
4%
Mistral
4%
Poolside
4%
Moonshot
3%
小米
3%
Thinky
3%
Anthropic 51%
OpenAI 17%
谷歌 14%
SpaceXAI 12.4%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
Anthropic
$251 交易量
51%
OpenAI
$78 交易量
17%
谷歌
$95 交易量
13%
SpaceXAI
$38 交易量
12%
腾讯
$21 交易量
11%
DeepSeek
$21 交易量
9%
Z.ai
$38 交易量
8%
Meta
$64 交易量
8%
MiniMax
$49 交易量
5%
阿里巴巴
$45 交易量
4%
字节跳动
$142 交易量
4%
Mistral
$175 交易量
4%
Poolside
$38 交易量
4%
Moonshot
$38 交易量
3%
小米
$183 交易量
3%
Thinky
$48 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the highest implied probability at 50.5% for second place in Code Arena WebDev by end of November, reflecting its Claude Fable 5.1 model's recent near-top ranking just behind OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra on the crowdsourced Elo-style leaderboard. This positioning stems from Anthropic’s consistent strength in agentic coding workflows, multi-step frontend tasks, and tool use, with scores clustering tightly among mid-tier labs like Alibaba, Moonshot, and Meta. OpenAI’s early September launch solidified first place, while open-weight contenders such as DeepSeek and Z.ai show rapid gains on cost-adjusted benchmarks but trail in overall votes. Traders appear focused on whether Anthropic can maintain its edge through November or if faster iterations from Google, Tencent, or others will shift the hierarchy before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ET
交易量
$1,323结束日期
2026-12-01市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the highest implied probability at 50.5% for second place in Code Arena WebDev by end of November, reflecting its Claude Fable 5.1 model's recent near-top ranking just behind OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra on the crowdsourced Elo-style leaderboard. This positioning stems from Anthropic’s consistent strength in agentic coding workflows, multi-step frontend tasks, and tool use, with scores clustering tightly among mid-tier labs like Alibaba, Moonshot, and Meta. OpenAI’s early September launch solidified first place, while open-weight contenders such as DeepSeek and Z.ai show rapid gains on cost-adjusted benchmarks but trail in overall votes. Traders appear focused on whether Anthropic can maintain its edge through November or if faster iterations from Google, Tencent, or others will shift the hierarchy before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$1,323结束日期
2026-12-01市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ETAnthropic holds the highest implied probability at 50.5% for second place in Code Arena WebDev by end of November, reflecting its Claude Fable 5.1 model's recent near-top ranking just behind OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra on the crowdsourced Elo-style leaderboard. This positioning stems from Anthropic’s consistent strength in agentic coding workflows, multi-step frontend tasks, and tool use, with scores clustering tightly among mid-tier labs like Alibaba, Moonshot, and Meta. OpenAI’s early September launch solidified first place, while open-weight contenders such as DeepSeek and Z.ai show rapid gains on cost-adjusted benchmarks but trail in overall votes. Traders appear focused on whether Anthropic can maintain its edge through November or if faster iterations from Google, Tencent, or others will shift the hierarchy before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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