Anthropic’s rapid iteration cadence drives trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus, following the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. Recent rumors point to an Opus 5.2 as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with prediction market medians around September 24 and strong probability clusters in the final week. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT line and Google’s Gemini updates, combined with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus refreshes every 1–2 months, reinforces expectations of another incremental upgrade focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains. Key near-term catalysts include any official blog post, API documentation update, or benchmark announcements that could shift the current tight consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$154,841 交易量
2026-09-17
9月17日
1%
9月20日
4%
9月24日
55%
9月27日
61%
9月30日
81%
10月31日
98%
12月31日
98%
$154,841 交易量
9月17日
$11,320 交易量
1%
9月20日
$6,448 交易量
4%
9月24日
$4,458 交易量
55%
9月27日
$4,548 交易量
61%
9月30日
$67,802 交易量
81%
10月31日
$13,548 交易量
98%
12月31日
$5,203 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration cadence drives trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus, following the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. Recent rumors point to an Opus 5.2 as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with prediction market medians around September 24 and strong probability clusters in the final week. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT line and Google’s Gemini updates, combined with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus refreshes every 1–2 months, reinforces expectations of another incremental upgrade focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains. Key near-term catalysts include any official blog post, API documentation update, or benchmark announcements that could shift the current tight consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
交易量
$154,841结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration cadence drives trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus, following the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. Recent rumors point to an Opus 5.2 as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with prediction market medians around September 24 and strong probability clusters in the final week. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT line and Google’s Gemini updates, combined with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus refreshes every 1–2 months, reinforces expectations of another incremental upgrade focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains. Key near-term catalysts include any official blog post, API documentation update, or benchmark announcements that could shift the current tight consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$154,841结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ETAnthropic’s rapid iteration cadence drives trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus, following the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1. Recent rumors point to an Opus 5.2 as early as September 17–18 or by month-end, aligning with prediction market medians around September 24 and strong probability clusters in the final week. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT line and Google’s Gemini updates, combined with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus refreshes every 1–2 months, reinforces expectations of another incremental upgrade focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains. Key near-term catalysts include any official blog post, API documentation update, or benchmark announcements that could shift the current tight consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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