Anthropic's most recent Haiku model, Claude Haiku 4.5, launched on October 15, 2025, delivering Sonnet-level coding and agent performance at lower cost and higher speed. As of August 2026, nearly ten months later, no successor has been announced or released despite multiple 2026 updates to Sonnet 5 and Opus 5. Haiku releases historically follow major flagship iterations rather than matching every minor revision, reflecting Anthropic's emphasis on scaling larger models first while maintaining a single efficient tier for high-volume use. Traders are monitoring for any official statements on extended-thinking features, Computer Use support, or new benchmarks that could signal an imminent 4.6 or 5-class Haiku. The absence of leaks or developer previews keeps near-term probabilities contained, with resolution hinging on Anthropic's typical cadence of one to two major model family updates per year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-08-31
8月31日
6%
10月31日
59%
12月31日
61%
$6,026 交易量
8月31日
$1,527 交易量
6%
10月31日
$807 交易量
59%
12月31日
$3,692 交易量
61%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's most recent Haiku model, Claude Haiku 4.5, launched on October 15, 2025, delivering Sonnet-level coding and agent performance at lower cost and higher speed. As of August 2026, nearly ten months later, no successor has been announced or released despite multiple 2026 updates to Sonnet 5 and Opus 5. Haiku releases historically follow major flagship iterations rather than matching every minor revision, reflecting Anthropic's emphasis on scaling larger models first while maintaining a single efficient tier for high-volume use. Traders are monitoring for any official statements on extended-thinking features, Computer Use support, or new benchmarks that could signal an imminent 4.6 or 5-class Haiku. The absence of leaks or developer previews keeps near-term probabilities contained, with resolution hinging on Anthropic's typical cadence of one to two major model family updates per year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
交易量
$6,026结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's most recent Haiku model, Claude Haiku 4.5, launched on October 15, 2025, delivering Sonnet-level coding and agent performance at lower cost and higher speed. As of August 2026, nearly ten months later, no successor has been announced or released despite multiple 2026 updates to Sonnet 5 and Opus 5. Haiku releases historically follow major flagship iterations rather than matching every minor revision, reflecting Anthropic's emphasis on scaling larger models first while maintaining a single efficient tier for high-volume use. Traders are monitoring for any official statements on extended-thinking features, Computer Use support, or new benchmarks that could signal an imminent 4.6 or 5-class Haiku. The absence of leaks or developer previews keeps near-term probabilities contained, with resolution hinging on Anthropic's typical cadence of one to two major model family updates per year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,026结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's most recent Haiku model, Claude Haiku 4.5, launched on October 15, 2025, delivering Sonnet-level coding and agent performance at lower cost and higher speed. As of August 2026, nearly ten months later, no successor has been announced or released despite multiple 2026 updates to Sonnet 5 and Opus 5. Haiku releases historically follow major flagship iterations rather than matching every minor revision, reflecting Anthropic's emphasis on scaling larger models first while maintaining a single efficient tier for high-volume use. Traders are monitoring for any official statements on extended-thinking features, Computer Use support, or new benchmarks that could signal an imminent 4.6 or 5-class Haiku. The absence of leaks or developer previews keeps near-term probabilities contained, with resolution hinging on Anthropic's typical cadence of one to two major model family updates per year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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