Anthropic’s latest Haiku model, Claude Haiku 4.5 released in October 2025, continues to serve as the fast, low-cost tier with near-frontier coding and agent capabilities, while the company has rolled out multiple Claude 5-series models including Sonnet 5 and Opus 5 throughout 2026 without a matching Haiku update. This pattern—where Haiku versions typically follow major Sonnet or Opus launches by weeks or months to maintain cost-efficient options—appears to be the main factor shaping trader expectations for the next release timeline. Recent deprecation notices retiring older Haiku 3 and 3.5 variants further underscore Anthropic’s focus on consolidating around the 4.5 generation for high-volume API workloads. Traders are monitoring potential catalysts such as developer conferences or earnings updates that could signal a 2026 Haiku refresh aligned with ongoing hybrid reasoning and computer-use enhancements across the lineup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-08-31
8月31日
6%
10月31日
58%
12月31日
61%
$6,079 交易量
8月31日
$1,529 交易量
6%
10月31日
$823 交易量
58%
12月31日
$3,727 交易量
61%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s latest Haiku model, Claude Haiku 4.5 released in October 2025, continues to serve as the fast, low-cost tier with near-frontier coding and agent capabilities, while the company has rolled out multiple Claude 5-series models including Sonnet 5 and Opus 5 throughout 2026 without a matching Haiku update. This pattern—where Haiku versions typically follow major Sonnet or Opus launches by weeks or months to maintain cost-efficient options—appears to be the main factor shaping trader expectations for the next release timeline. Recent deprecation notices retiring older Haiku 3 and 3.5 variants further underscore Anthropic’s focus on consolidating around the 4.5 generation for high-volume API workloads. Traders are monitoring potential catalysts such as developer conferences or earnings updates that could signal a 2026 Haiku refresh aligned with ongoing hybrid reasoning and computer-use enhancements across the lineup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
交易量
$6,079结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s latest Haiku model, Claude Haiku 4.5 released in October 2025, continues to serve as the fast, low-cost tier with near-frontier coding and agent capabilities, while the company has rolled out multiple Claude 5-series models including Sonnet 5 and Opus 5 throughout 2026 without a matching Haiku update. This pattern—where Haiku versions typically follow major Sonnet or Opus launches by weeks or months to maintain cost-efficient options—appears to be the main factor shaping trader expectations for the next release timeline. Recent deprecation notices retiring older Haiku 3 and 3.5 variants further underscore Anthropic’s focus on consolidating around the 4.5 generation for high-volume API workloads. Traders are monitoring potential catalysts such as developer conferences or earnings updates that could signal a 2026 Haiku refresh aligned with ongoing hybrid reasoning and computer-use enhancements across the lineup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,079结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s latest Haiku model, Claude Haiku 4.5 released in October 2025, continues to serve as the fast, low-cost tier with near-frontier coding and agent capabilities, while the company has rolled out multiple Claude 5-series models including Sonnet 5 and Opus 5 throughout 2026 without a matching Haiku update. This pattern—where Haiku versions typically follow major Sonnet or Opus launches by weeks or months to maintain cost-efficient options—appears to be the main factor shaping trader expectations for the next release timeline. Recent deprecation notices retiring older Haiku 3 and 3.5 variants further underscore Anthropic’s focus on consolidating around the 4.5 generation for high-volume API workloads. Traders are monitoring potential catalysts such as developer conferences or earnings updates that could signal a 2026 Haiku refresh aligned with ongoing hybrid reasoning and computer-use enhancements across the lineup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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