Shadowrocket’s dominant 95% implied probability stems from its established position as a flexible rule-based proxy utility on iOS that supports advanced protocols like Shadowsocks for privacy, traffic routing, and geo-restriction bypass. Steady demand from technically adept users, combined with its one-time purchase model and lack of major competing releases or promotions in the paid charts, has sustained its lead on US App Store rankings in recent weeks. Trader consensus reflects this consistent sales pattern rather than any single event. A blockbuster game launch, aggressive App Store featuring of another utility, or sudden algorithm shift favoring newer titles could still disrupt the outcome before August 21.