Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model remains delayed, with 3.5 Pro—teased at I/O in May 2026 and originally targeted for June—still in partner testing without a confirmed public release date as of early September. The company has instead shipped rapid iterations of lighter Flash variants, including 3.8 Flash in early September, while confirming that training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4. This pattern of slippage on the Pro tier, alongside strong performance from competitors' frontier models, shapes trader focus on whether a new Pro version arrives before year-end or if Google prioritizes incremental Flash updates and agentic features first. Key near-term catalysts include any updates at upcoming earnings or developer events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,273,057 交易量
2026-09-15
September 15
3%
September 30
11%
October 31
68%
10 月 15 日
20%
$1,273,057 交易量
September 15
$12,250 交易量
3%
September 30
$81,250 交易量
11%
October 31
$19,508 交易量
68%
10 月 15 日
$3,966 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model remains delayed, with 3.5 Pro—teased at I/O in May 2026 and originally targeted for June—still in partner testing without a confirmed public release date as of early September. The company has instead shipped rapid iterations of lighter Flash variants, including 3.8 Flash in early September, while confirming that training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4. This pattern of slippage on the Pro tier, alongside strong performance from competitors' frontier models, shapes trader focus on whether a new Pro version arrives before year-end or if Google prioritizes incremental Flash updates and agentic features first. Key near-term catalysts include any updates at upcoming earnings or developer events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ET
交易量
$1,273,057结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model remains delayed, with 3.5 Pro—teased at I/O in May 2026 and originally targeted for June—still in partner testing without a confirmed public release date as of early September. The company has instead shipped rapid iterations of lighter Flash variants, including 3.8 Flash in early September, while confirming that training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4. This pattern of slippage on the Pro tier, alongside strong performance from competitors' frontier models, shapes trader focus on whether a new Pro version arrives before year-end or if Google prioritizes incremental Flash updates and agentic features first. Key near-term catalysts include any updates at upcoming earnings or developer events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,273,057结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETGoogle's next flagship Gemini Pro model remains delayed, with 3.5 Pro—teased at I/O in May 2026 and originally targeted for June—still in partner testing without a confirmed public release date as of early September. The company has instead shipped rapid iterations of lighter Flash variants, including 3.8 Flash in early September, while confirming that training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4. This pattern of slippage on the Pro tier, alongside strong performance from competitors' frontier models, shapes trader focus on whether a new Pro version arrives before year-end or if Google prioritizes incremental Flash updates and agentic features first. Key near-term catalysts include any updates at upcoming earnings or developer events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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