Meta’s rapid iteration on its closed Muse Spark family continues to shape trader views on a 1.3+ release. After introducing the base multimodal reasoning model in April 2026, Meta shipped Muse Spark 1.1 in July with gains in tool use and agentic workflows, then followed with the coding-focused 1.2 and Muse Code agent on August 5. The company is positioning the series—developed under Meta Superintelligence Labs—as a direct competitor to OpenAI and Anthropic offerings, emphasizing 1M-token context, reliable tool calling, and long-horizon tasks over the open-weight Llama approach. Recent signals include Chief AI Officer comments on an open-weight 1.2 variant arriving “soon” alongside the smaller Muse Glimmer, while internal development cadence and API expansions suggest the next major update could arrive within months. Traders are watching for confirmation of release windows, feature thresholds such as improved benchmarks or new agent capabilities, and any regulatory or competitive moves that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-08-31
8月31日
35%
9月30日
53%
$21 交易量
8月31日
$0 交易量
35%
9月30日
$21 交易量
53%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s rapid iteration on its closed Muse Spark family continues to shape trader views on a 1.3+ release. After introducing the base multimodal reasoning model in April 2026, Meta shipped Muse Spark 1.1 in July with gains in tool use and agentic workflows, then followed with the coding-focused 1.2 and Muse Code agent on August 5. The company is positioning the series—developed under Meta Superintelligence Labs—as a direct competitor to OpenAI and Anthropic offerings, emphasizing 1M-token context, reliable tool calling, and long-horizon tasks over the open-weight Llama approach.
Recent signals include Chief AI Officer comments on an open-weight 1.2 variant arriving “soon” alongside the smaller Muse Glimmer, while internal development cadence and API expansions suggest the next major update could arrive within months. Traders are watching for confirmation of release windows, feature thresholds such as improved benchmarks or new agent capabilities, and any regulatory or competitive moves that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
交易量
$21结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s rapid iteration on its closed Muse Spark family continues to shape trader views on a 1.3+ release. After introducing the base multimodal reasoning model in April 2026, Meta shipped Muse Spark 1.1 in July with gains in tool use and agentic workflows, then followed with the coding-focused 1.2 and Muse Code agent on August 5. The company is positioning the series—developed under Meta Superintelligence Labs—as a direct competitor to OpenAI and Anthropic offerings, emphasizing 1M-token context, reliable tool calling, and long-horizon tasks over the open-weight Llama approach.
Recent signals include Chief AI Officer comments on an open-weight 1.2 variant arriving “soon” alongside the smaller Muse Glimmer, while internal development cadence and API expansions suggest the next major update could arrive within months. Traders are watching for confirmation of release windows, feature thresholds such as improved benchmarks or new agent capabilities, and any regulatory or competitive moves that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$21结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Meta’s rapid iteration on its closed Muse Spark family continues to shape trader views on a 1.3+ release. After introducing the base multimodal reasoning model in April 2026, Meta shipped Muse Spark 1.1 in July with gains in tool use and agentic workflows, then followed with the coding-focused 1.2 and Muse Code agent on August 5. The company is positioning the series—developed under Meta Superintelligence Labs—as a direct competitor to OpenAI and Anthropic offerings, emphasizing 1M-token context, reliable tool calling, and long-horizon tasks over the open-weight Llama approach. Recent signals include Chief AI Officer comments on an open-weight 1.2 variant arriving “soon” alongside the smaller Muse Glimmer, while internal development cadence and API expansions suggest the next major update could arrive within months. Traders are watching for confirmation of release windows, feature thresholds such as improved benchmarks or new agent capabilities, and any regulatory or competitive moves that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题