Anthropic’s IPO valuation odds reflect trader focus on its May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation alongside a $47 billion annualized revenue run rate that has since climbed further. Secondary-market trading has marked shares above $1.2 trillion, while bankers and investors discuss a potential $2 trillion debut that would imply roughly 30–35 times current revenue—pricing in aggressive 2028 forecasts near $190–200 billion amid enterprise Claude adoption and hyperscaler backing from Amazon and Google. The closely bunched probabilities across the $1.75–2.75 trillion brackets capture uncertainty over gross-margin expansion, compute-cost trajectory, and first-day trading dynamics in a market already pricing large AI names at premium multiples. With the public S-1 now slated for late September and roadshow activity targeted for mid-October, fresh audited financials and institutional demand signals will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of a potential Nasdaq listing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1.75–$2.0T 28%
$2.0–$2.25T 24.4%
$2.5–$2.75T 15.9%
$2.25–$2.5T 15%
$683,566 交易量
$683,566 交易量
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
1%
$1.5–$1.75T
7%
$1.75–$2.0T
28%
$2.0–$2.25T
24%
$2.25–$2.5T
15%
$2.5–$2.75T
16%
$2.75–$3.0T
4%
$3.0T+
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
$1.75–$2.0T 28%
$2.0–$2.25T 24.4%
$2.5–$2.75T 15.9%
$2.25–$2.5T 15%
$683,566 交易量
$683,566 交易量
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
1%
$1.5–$1.75T
7%
$1.75–$2.0T
28%
$2.0–$2.25T
24%
$2.25–$2.5T
15%
$2.5–$2.75T
16%
$2.75–$3.0T
4%
$3.0T+
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Anthropic’s IPO valuation odds reflect trader focus on its May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation alongside a $47 billion annualized revenue run rate that has since climbed further. Secondary-market trading has marked shares above $1.2 trillion, while bankers and investors discuss a potential $2 trillion debut that would imply roughly 30–35 times current revenue—pricing in aggressive 2028 forecasts near $190–200 billion amid enterprise Claude adoption and hyperscaler backing from Amazon and Google. The closely bunched probabilities across the $1.75–2.75 trillion brackets capture uncertainty over gross-margin expansion, compute-cost trajectory, and first-day trading dynamics in a market already pricing large AI names at premium multiples. With the public S-1 now slated for late September and roadshow activity targeted for mid-October, fresh audited financials and institutional demand signals will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of a potential Nasdaq listing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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