Anthropic's rapid private valuation surge and investor anticipation of a record IPO drive the 64% market-implied odds for a 1.8T+ closing market cap. The AI lab reached a $965 billion post-money valuation in its May 2026 Series H round after climbing from $380 billion in February, supported by a $47 billion revenue run rate and projections nearing $100-120 billion annualized by year-end. Confidential IPO filing in June and credible reports of an October debut at $2 trillion-plus valuations reflect strong demand for its Claude large language models amid competitive advances like Opus 5 and Sonnet 5 releases. Traders weigh these catalysts against typical IPO volatility and potential regulatory scrutiny in AI, though the timeline to late 2026 keeps high-end outcomes favored in current sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.8T+ 64%
1.5–1.8T 16.8%
1.2–1.5T 11.5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 5.2%
$308,287 交易量
$308,287 交易量
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
3%
0.9–1.2T
2%
1.2–1.5T
12%
1.5–1.8T
17%
1.8T+
64%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
1.8T+ 64%
1.5–1.8T 16.8%
1.2–1.5T 11.5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 5.2%
$308,287 交易量
$308,287 交易量
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
3%
0.9–1.2T
2%
1.2–1.5T
12%
1.5–1.8T
17%
1.8T+
64%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's rapid private valuation surge and investor anticipation of a record IPO drive the 64% market-implied odds for a 1.8T+ closing market cap. The AI lab reached a $965 billion post-money valuation in its May 2026 Series H round after climbing from $380 billion in February, supported by a $47 billion revenue run rate and projections nearing $100-120 billion annualized by year-end. Confidential IPO filing in June and credible reports of an October debut at $2 trillion-plus valuations reflect strong demand for its Claude large language models amid competitive advances like Opus 5 and Sonnet 5 releases. Traders weigh these catalysts against typical IPO volatility and potential regulatory scrutiny in AI, though the timeline to late 2026 keeps high-end outcomes favored in current sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题