Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 39.5%, fueled by explosive secondary market trading where pre-IPO shares implied valuations of $1.2–1.4 trillion in early May 2026—up 900% since October 2025—alongside reports of fresh funding talks for $30 billion at over $900 billion as of May 12. These surges reflect Anthropic's frontier large language model leadership with Claude, annualized revenue topping $30 billion, and enterprise adoption outpacing OpenAI, bolstered by strategic investments like Google's up to $40 billion commitment. Mid-tier outcomes like $1.2–1.5 trillion (15.5%) capture moderated hype, while a 13% chance of no IPO by end-2027 accounts for regulatory scrutiny and execution risks; watch for S-1 filing or funding closure amid volatile AI valuations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.8T+ 40%
1.2–1.5T 15%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
0.9–1.2T 13%
$45,286 交易量
$45,286 交易量
<0.6T
4%
0.6–0.9T
6%
0.9–1.2T
13%
1.2–1.5T
15%
1.5–1.8T
13%
1.8T+
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
1.8T+ 40%
1.2–1.5T 15%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14%
0.9–1.2T 13%
$45,286 交易量
$45,286 交易量
<0.6T
4%
0.6–0.9T
6%
0.9–1.2T
13%
1.2–1.5T
15%
1.5–1.8T
13%
1.8T+
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 39.5%, fueled by explosive secondary market trading where pre-IPO shares implied valuations of $1.2–1.4 trillion in early May 2026—up 900% since October 2025—alongside reports of fresh funding talks for $30 billion at over $900 billion as of May 12. These surges reflect Anthropic's frontier large language model leadership with Claude, annualized revenue topping $30 billion, and enterprise adoption outpacing OpenAI, bolstered by strategic investments like Google's up to $40 billion commitment. Mid-tier outcomes like $1.2–1.5 trillion (15.5%) capture moderated hype, while a 13% chance of no IPO by end-2027 accounts for regulatory scrutiny and execution risks; watch for S-1 filing or funding closure amid volatile AI valuations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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