Nvidia's sustained leadership in AI accelerators, backed by record data center revenue and the ramp of Blackwell systems, anchors trader sentiment for its end-2026 market cap near current levels of roughly $5 trillion. Official forecasts at GTC 2026 highlighted at least $1 trillion in cumulative demand for Blackwell and upcoming Vera Rubin platforms through 2027, while recent earnings showed 92% year-over-year data center growth that exceeded expectations. Market-implied odds cluster around the $5.50–$6.00 trillion bucket (35%) as the leading outcome, reflecting expectations of continued AI capital expenditure tempered by rising custom-chip competition from hyperscalers and valuation scrutiny. Key near-term catalysts include the August 26 earnings release and second-half Rubin platform availability, which could shift probabilities if adoption accelerates or if supply-chain signals disappoint.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5.50-6.00万亿美元 29%
6.50万亿美元及以上 18%
4.00-4.50万亿美元 17%
4.50-5.00万亿美元 17%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
低于4万亿美元
16%
4.00-4.50万亿美元
17%
4.50-5.00万亿美元
17%
5.00-5.50万亿美元
14%
5.50-6.00万亿美元
29%
6.00-6.50万亿美元
14%
6.50万亿美元及以上
18%
5.50-6.00万亿美元 29%
6.50万亿美元及以上 18%
4.00-4.50万亿美元 17%
4.50-5.00万亿美元 17%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
低于4万亿美元
$68 交易量
16%
4.00-4.50万亿美元
$95 交易量
17%
4.50-5.00万亿美元
$61 交易量
17%
5.00-5.50万亿美元
$0 交易量
14%
5.50-6.00万亿美元
$26 交易量
29%
6.00-6.50万亿美元
$32 交易量
14%
6.50万亿美元及以上
$0 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia's sustained leadership in AI accelerators, backed by record data center revenue and the ramp of Blackwell systems, anchors trader sentiment for its end-2026 market cap near current levels of roughly $5 trillion. Official forecasts at GTC 2026 highlighted at least $1 trillion in cumulative demand for Blackwell and upcoming Vera Rubin platforms through 2027, while recent earnings showed 92% year-over-year data center growth that exceeded expectations. Market-implied odds cluster around the $5.50–$6.00 trillion bucket (35%) as the leading outcome, reflecting expectations of continued AI capital expenditure tempered by rising custom-chip competition from hyperscalers and valuation scrutiny. Key near-term catalysts include the August 26 earnings release and second-half Rubin platform availability, which could shift probabilities if adoption accelerates or if supply-chain signals disappoint.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
交易量
$282结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia's sustained leadership in AI accelerators, backed by record data center revenue and the ramp of Blackwell systems, anchors trader sentiment for its end-2026 market cap near current levels of roughly $5 trillion. Official forecasts at GTC 2026 highlighted at least $1 trillion in cumulative demand for Blackwell and upcoming Vera Rubin platforms through 2027, while recent earnings showed 92% year-over-year data center growth that exceeded expectations. Market-implied odds cluster around the $5.50–$6.00 trillion bucket (35%) as the leading outcome, reflecting expectations of continued AI capital expenditure tempered by rising custom-chip competition from hyperscalers and valuation scrutiny. Key near-term catalysts include the August 26 earnings release and second-half Rubin platform availability, which could shift probabilities if adoption accelerates or if supply-chain signals disappoint.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
交易量
$282结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nvidia's sustained leadership in AI accelerators, backed by record data center revenue and the ramp of Blackwell systems, anchors trader sentiment for its end-2026 market cap near current levels of roughly $5 trillion. Official forecasts at GTC 2026 highlighted at least $1 trillion in cumulative demand for Blackwell and upcoming Vera Rubin platforms through 2027, while recent earnings showed 92% year-over-year data center growth that exceeded expectations. Market-implied odds cluster around the $5.50–$6.00 trillion bucket (35%) as the leading outcome, reflecting expectations of continued AI capital expenditure tempered by rising custom-chip competition from hyperscalers and valuation scrutiny. Key near-term catalysts include the August 26 earnings release and second-half Rubin platform availability, which could shift probabilities if adoption accelerates or if supply-chain signals disappoint.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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