Recent Alphabet earnings underscore AI momentum as the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with Q2 2026 revenue rising 24% year-over-year to $119.8 billion and Google Cloud surging 82% to $24.8 billion on enterprise demand for AI infrastructure and solutions. This performance, alongside profit gains tied to investments like SpaceX, supports the leading $4.50–5.00T market-cap bin at 42% implied probability while current capitalization hovers near $4.5 trillion. Elevated 2026 capex guidance of $195–205 billion tempers upside odds for the $6T+ outcome at 27.5%, reflecting margin pressure and the need for sustained returns on AI spend ahead of Q3 results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6 万亿美元以上 45%
$4.50-$5.00T 45%
$5.00-$5.50T 27%
$5.50-$6.00T 25%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
<$3.50T
23%
$3.50-$4.00T
24%
$4.00-$4.50T
25%
$4.50-$5.00T
45%
$5.00-$5.50T
27%
$5.50-$6.00T
25%
6 万亿美元以上
28%
6 万亿美元以上 45%
$4.50-$5.00T 45%
$5.00-$5.50T 27%
$5.50-$6.00T 25%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
<$3.50T
$132 交易量
23%
$3.50-$4.00T
$0 交易量
24%
$4.00-$4.50T
$0 交易量
25%
$4.50-$5.00T
$0 交易量
45%
$5.00-$5.50T
$0 交易量
27%
$5.50-$6.00T
$0 交易量
25%
6 万亿美元以上
$20 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Recent Alphabet earnings underscore AI momentum as the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with Q2 2026 revenue rising 24% year-over-year to $119.8 billion and Google Cloud surging 82% to $24.8 billion on enterprise demand for AI infrastructure and solutions. This performance, alongside profit gains tied to investments like SpaceX, supports the leading $4.50–5.00T market-cap bin at 42% implied probability while current capitalization hovers near $4.5 trillion. Elevated 2026 capex guidance of $195–205 billion tempers upside odds for the $6T+ outcome at 27.5%, reflecting margin pressure and the need for sustained returns on AI spend ahead of Q3 results.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ET
交易量
$152结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Recent Alphabet earnings underscore AI momentum as the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with Q2 2026 revenue rising 24% year-over-year to $119.8 billion and Google Cloud surging 82% to $24.8 billion on enterprise demand for AI infrastructure and solutions. This performance, alongside profit gains tied to investments like SpaceX, supports the leading $4.50–5.00T market-cap bin at 42% implied probability while current capitalization hovers near $4.5 trillion. Elevated 2026 capex guidance of $195–205 billion tempers upside odds for the $6T+ outcome at 27.5%, reflecting margin pressure and the need for sustained returns on AI spend ahead of Q3 results.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
交易量
$152结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Alphabet earnings underscore AI momentum as the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with Q2 2026 revenue rising 24% year-over-year to $119.8 billion and Google Cloud surging 82% to $24.8 billion on enterprise demand for AI infrastructure and solutions. This performance, alongside profit gains tied to investments like SpaceX, supports the leading $4.50–5.00T market-cap bin at 42% implied probability while current capitalization hovers near $4.5 trillion. Elevated 2026 capex guidance of $195–205 billion tempers upside odds for the $6T+ outcome at 27.5%, reflecting margin pressure and the need for sustained returns on AI spend ahead of Q3 results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题