Recent SpaceX earnings and Elon Musk’s detailed updates on Starlink V3 satellites and bandwidth projections tied to surging AI and robotics data needs have centered trader attention on communications and infrastructure themes for the August 10–16 window. Musk’s public emphasis on order-of-magnitude improvements in satellite capability, potential hundreds of billions in annual revenue, and the new Terafab AI chip complex in Texas with Tesla underscore ongoing capital commitments in advanced semiconductors and orbital systems. Competitive pressure from other AI labs and launch providers, plus the planned next Starship flight test this month, could prompt follow-up commentary on timelines, technical milestones, or xAI developments. Traders watch these verified announcements for signals on Musk’s posting patterns around hardware, model scaling, and platform dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-08-16
Trump
45%
Sam / Altman
41%
Tweak
44%
Deport / Deported
43%
Tesla
51%
Video game / Videogame
27%
Iran / Iranian
9%
ChatGPT
44%
Texas
43%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
27%
$94 交易量
Trump
$0 交易量
45%
Sam / Altman
$0 交易量
41%
Tweak
$0 交易量
44%
Deport / Deported
$0 交易量
43%
Tesla
$2 交易量
51%
Video game / Videogame
$0 交易量
27%
Iran / Iranian
$92 交易量
9%
ChatGPT
$0 交易量
44%
Texas
$0 交易量
43%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$0 交易量
27%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.Recent SpaceX earnings and Elon Musk’s detailed updates on Starlink V3 satellites and bandwidth projections tied to surging AI and robotics data needs have centered trader attention on communications and infrastructure themes for the August 10–16 window. Musk’s public emphasis on order-of-magnitude improvements in satellite capability, potential hundreds of billions in annual revenue, and the new Terafab AI chip complex in Texas with Tesla underscore ongoing capital commitments in advanced semiconductors and orbital systems. Competitive pressure from other AI labs and launch providers, plus the planned next Starship flight test this month, could prompt follow-up commentary on timelines, technical milestones, or xAI developments. Traders watch these verified announcements for signals on Musk’s posting patterns around hardware, model scaling, and platform dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$94结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.Recent SpaceX earnings and Elon Musk’s detailed updates on Starlink V3 satellites and bandwidth projections tied to surging AI and robotics data needs have centered trader attention on communications and infrastructure themes for the August 10–16 window. Musk’s public emphasis on order-of-magnitude improvements in satellite capability, potential hundreds of billions in annual revenue, and the new Terafab AI chip complex in Texas with Tesla underscore ongoing capital commitments in advanced semiconductors and orbital systems. Competitive pressure from other AI labs and launch providers, plus the planned next Starship flight test this month, could prompt follow-up commentary on timelines, technical milestones, or xAI developments. Traders watch these verified announcements for signals on Musk’s posting patterns around hardware, model scaling, and platform dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
交易量
$94结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent SpaceX earnings and Elon Musk’s detailed updates on Starlink V3 satellites and bandwidth projections tied to surging AI and robotics data needs have centered trader attention on communications and infrastructure themes for the August 10–16 window. Musk’s public emphasis on order-of-magnitude improvements in satellite capability, potential hundreds of billions in annual revenue, and the new Terafab AI chip complex in Texas with Tesla underscore ongoing capital commitments in advanced semiconductors and orbital systems. Competitive pressure from other AI labs and launch providers, plus the planned next Starship flight test this month, could prompt follow-up commentary on timelines, technical milestones, or xAI developments. Traders watch these verified announcements for signals on Musk’s posting patterns around hardware, model scaling, and platform dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题