Apple’s market cap trajectory toward the end of 2026 remains closely contested because recent earnings guidance revealed supply-chain constraints on advanced chips and memory driven by the broader AI data-center boom, pressuring near-term iPhone and Mac production while costs rise. Traders weigh these headwinds against Apple’s strong ecosystem lock-in, the planned fall rollout of an upgraded Siri powered by Apple Intelligence and Google’s Gemini model, and the iPhone 17 upgrade cycle that historically lifts valuations. With the stock hovering near $4.5–4.6 trillion after briefly touching $5 trillion in July, the balanced probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether AI feature adoption and services growth can offset component shortages before year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4.50-5.00万亿美元 22%
3.50-4.00万亿美元 20%
5.00-5.50万亿美元 20%
4.00-4.50万亿美元 19%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
低于3.50万亿美元
12%
3.50-4.00万亿美元
20%
4.00-4.50万亿美元
19%
4.50-5.00万亿美元
22%
5.00-5.50万亿美元
20%
5.50-6.00万亿美元
14%
6.00万亿美元以上
6%
4.50-5.00万亿美元 22%
3.50-4.00万亿美元 20%
5.00-5.50万亿美元 20%
4.00-4.50万亿美元 19%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
低于3.50万亿美元
$63 交易量
12%
3.50-4.00万亿美元
$40 交易量
20%
4.00-4.50万亿美元
$62 交易量
19%
4.50-5.00万亿美元
$75 交易量
22%
5.00-5.50万亿美元
$40 交易量
20%
5.50-6.00万亿美元
$70 交易量
14%
6.00万亿美元以上
$46 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Apple’s market cap trajectory toward the end of 2026 remains closely contested because recent earnings guidance revealed supply-chain constraints on advanced chips and memory driven by the broader AI data-center boom, pressuring near-term iPhone and Mac production while costs rise. Traders weigh these headwinds against Apple’s strong ecosystem lock-in, the planned fall rollout of an upgraded Siri powered by Apple Intelligence and Google’s Gemini model, and the iPhone 17 upgrade cycle that historically lifts valuations. With the stock hovering near $4.5–4.6 trillion after briefly touching $5 trillion in July, the balanced probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether AI feature adoption and services growth can offset component shortages before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ET
交易量
$395结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Apple’s market cap trajectory toward the end of 2026 remains closely contested because recent earnings guidance revealed supply-chain constraints on advanced chips and memory driven by the broader AI data-center boom, pressuring near-term iPhone and Mac production while costs rise. Traders weigh these headwinds against Apple’s strong ecosystem lock-in, the planned fall rollout of an upgraded Siri powered by Apple Intelligence and Google’s Gemini model, and the iPhone 17 upgrade cycle that historically lifts valuations. With the stock hovering near $4.5–4.6 trillion after briefly touching $5 trillion in July, the balanced probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether AI feature adoption and services growth can offset component shortages before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
交易量
$395结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Apple’s market cap trajectory toward the end of 2026 remains closely contested because recent earnings guidance revealed supply-chain constraints on advanced chips and memory driven by the broader AI data-center boom, pressuring near-term iPhone and Mac production while costs rise. Traders weigh these headwinds against Apple’s strong ecosystem lock-in, the planned fall rollout of an upgraded Siri powered by Apple Intelligence and Google’s Gemini model, and the iPhone 17 upgrade cycle that historically lifts valuations. With the stock hovering near $4.5–4.6 trillion after briefly touching $5 trillion in July, the balanced probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether AI feature adoption and services growth can offset component shortages before year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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