Amazon's market cap, currently near $2.95 trillion after crossing $3 trillion on post-earnings strength in early August 2026, reflects trader focus on AWS momentum as the key driver. The division posted 37% year-over-year revenue growth in Q2—the fastest pace in 18 quarters—on surging AI demand, beating estimates and lifting operating income 43% to $27.5 billion. This performance, paired with raised 2026 capital expenditure guidance to $220 billion for data centers and custom chips, signals confidence in cloud and advertising expansion while supporting retail resilience. With probabilities split closely between the $2.50–3.00 trillion and $3.00–3.50 trillion buckets, outcomes hinge on Q3 results, holiday sales execution, sustained AI spending returns, and broader equity sentiment amid elevated valuations. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital bets on these variables rather than point forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2.50万亿-3.00万亿美元 24%
3.00-3.50万亿美元 20%
3.50-4.00万亿美元 9%
2.00-2.50万亿美元 8%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
低于2.00万亿美元
6%
2.00-2.50万亿美元
8%
2.50万亿-3.00万亿美元
24%
3.00-3.50万亿美元
20%
3.50-4.00万亿美元
9%
4.00-4.50万亿美元
4%
4.50万亿美元以上
6%
2.50万亿-3.00万亿美元 24%
3.00-3.50万亿美元 20%
3.50-4.00万亿美元 9%
2.00-2.50万亿美元 8%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
低于2.00万亿美元
$141 交易量
6%
2.00-2.50万亿美元
$125 交易量
8%
2.50万亿-3.00万亿美元
$455 交易量
24%
3.00-3.50万亿美元
$121 交易量
20%
3.50-4.00万亿美元
$146 交易量
9%
4.00-4.50万亿美元
$125 交易量
4%
4.50万亿美元以上
$130 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Amazon's market cap, currently near $2.95 trillion after crossing $3 trillion on post-earnings strength in early August 2026, reflects trader focus on AWS momentum as the key driver. The division posted 37% year-over-year revenue growth in Q2—the fastest pace in 18 quarters—on surging AI demand, beating estimates and lifting operating income 43% to $27.5 billion. This performance, paired with raised 2026 capital expenditure guidance to $220 billion for data centers and custom chips, signals confidence in cloud and advertising expansion while supporting retail resilience. With probabilities split closely between the $2.50–3.00 trillion and $3.00–3.50 trillion buckets, outcomes hinge on Q3 results, holiday sales execution, sustained AI spending returns, and broader equity sentiment amid elevated valuations. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital bets on these variables rather than point forecasts.
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
交易量
$1,242结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Amazon's market cap, currently near $2.95 trillion after crossing $3 trillion on post-earnings strength in early August 2026, reflects trader focus on AWS momentum as the key driver. The division posted 37% year-over-year revenue growth in Q2—the fastest pace in 18 quarters—on surging AI demand, beating estimates and lifting operating income 43% to $27.5 billion. This performance, paired with raised 2026 capital expenditure guidance to $220 billion for data centers and custom chips, signals confidence in cloud and advertising expansion while supporting retail resilience. With probabilities split closely between the $2.50–3.00 trillion and $3.00–3.50 trillion buckets, outcomes hinge on Q3 results, holiday sales execution, sustained AI spending returns, and broader equity sentiment amid elevated valuations. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital bets on these variables rather than point forecasts.
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
交易量
$1,242结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amazon's market cap, currently near $2.95 trillion after crossing $3 trillion on post-earnings strength in early August 2026, reflects trader focus on AWS momentum as the key driver. The division posted 37% year-over-year revenue growth in Q2—the fastest pace in 18 quarters—on surging AI demand, beating estimates and lifting operating income 43% to $27.5 billion. This performance, paired with raised 2026 capital expenditure guidance to $220 billion for data centers and custom chips, signals confidence in cloud and advertising expansion while supporting retail resilience. With probabilities split closely between the $2.50–3.00 trillion and $3.00–3.50 trillion buckets, outcomes hinge on Q3 results, holiday sales execution, sustained AI spending returns, and broader equity sentiment amid elevated valuations. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital bets on these variables rather than point forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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