OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing and $852 billion March 2026 post-money valuation anchor trader expectations, yet CEO Sam Altman's insistence on a $1 trillion-plus target has prompted consideration of a 2027 IPO to avoid pricing below that threshold. Recent SpaceX debut volatility and the company's heavy compute investments amid roughly $25 billion revenue run-rate have introduced uncertainty over achievable multiples, spreading implied odds across the $1.25 trillion–$2.0 trillion bands with no outcome exceeding 22%. Key swing factors include revenue inflection, AI sector multiples, and any pre-IPO investor meetings or updated filings that could clarify timing and demand.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.9%
$1.25T–$1.5T 17.0%
$2.5T+ 14.2%
$127,366 交易量
$127,366 交易量
2027-06-30
<$1T
6%
$1.0T–$1.25T
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
17%
$1.5T–$1.75T
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
5%
$2.25T–$2.5T
7%
$2.5T+
14%
$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.9%
$1.25T–$1.5T 17.0%
$2.5T+ 14.2%
$127,366 交易量
$127,366 交易量
2027-06-30
<$1T
$16,664 交易量
6%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$14,064 交易量
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$7,448 交易量
17%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$7,293 交易量
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$13,600 交易量
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,576 交易量
5%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$7,973 交易量
7%
$2.5T+
$57,748 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing and $852 billion March 2026 post-money valuation anchor trader expectations, yet CEO Sam Altman's insistence on a $1 trillion-plus target has prompted consideration of a 2027 IPO to avoid pricing below that threshold. Recent SpaceX debut volatility and the company's heavy compute investments amid roughly $25 billion revenue run-rate have introduced uncertainty over achievable multiples, spreading implied odds across the $1.25 trillion–$2.0 trillion bands with no outcome exceeding 22%. Key swing factors include revenue inflection, AI sector multiples, and any pre-IPO investor meetings or updated filings that could clarify timing and demand.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
交易量
$127,366结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing and $852 billion March 2026 post-money valuation anchor trader expectations, yet CEO Sam Altman's insistence on a $1 trillion-plus target has prompted consideration of a 2027 IPO to avoid pricing below that threshold. Recent SpaceX debut volatility and the company's heavy compute investments amid roughly $25 billion revenue run-rate have introduced uncertainty over achievable multiples, spreading implied odds across the $1.25 trillion–$2.0 trillion bands with no outcome exceeding 22%. Key swing factors include revenue inflection, AI sector multiples, and any pre-IPO investor meetings or updated filings that could clarify timing and demand.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$127,366结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETOpenAI's confidential S-1 filing and $852 billion March 2026 post-money valuation anchor trader expectations, yet CEO Sam Altman's insistence on a $1 trillion-plus target has prompted consideration of a 2027 IPO to avoid pricing below that threshold. Recent SpaceX debut volatility and the company's heavy compute investments amid roughly $25 billion revenue run-rate have introduced uncertainty over achievable multiples, spreading implied odds across the $1.25 trillion–$2.0 trillion bands with no outcome exceeding 22%. Key swing factors include revenue inflection, AI sector multiples, and any pre-IPO investor meetings or updated filings that could clarify timing and demand.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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