OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing in early June 2026 has anchored trader sentiment around its March private round at an $852 billion valuation, with analysts projecting a public debut potentially later this year at or above $1 trillion. Heavy losses exceeding $14 billion in 2026, delayed profitability until 2030, and an ongoing legal battle with Elon Musk introduce downside pressure that supports the slight lead for sub-$1 trillion outcomes. At the same time, rapid large language model scaling, expanded enterprise adoption of GPT systems, and AI infrastructure demand fuel optimism for higher multiples in the $1.75–2 trillion range. Key near-term catalysts include revenue trajectory through year-end and any updates on regulatory review or additional funding rounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1.75T–$2.0T 21%
<$1T 18%
$1.25T–$1.5T 16%
$1.0T–$1.25T 14%
<$1T
21%
$1.0T–$1.25T
14%
$1.25T–$1.5T
16%
$1.5T–$1.75T
14%
$1.75T–$2.0T
21%
$2.0T–$2.25T
5%
$2.25T–$2.5T
11%
$2.5T+
9%
$1.75T–$2.0T 21%
<$1T 18%
$1.25T–$1.5T 16%
$1.0T–$1.25T 14%
<$1T
21%
$1.0T–$1.25T
14%
$1.25T–$1.5T
16%
$1.5T–$1.75T
14%
$1.75T–$2.0T
21%
$2.0T–$2.25T
5%
$2.25T–$2.5T
11%
$2.5T+
9%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing in early June 2026 has anchored trader sentiment around its March private round at an $852 billion valuation, with analysts projecting a public debut potentially later this year at or above $1 trillion. Heavy losses exceeding $14 billion in 2026, delayed profitability until 2030, and an ongoing legal battle with Elon Musk introduce downside pressure that supports the slight lead for sub-$1 trillion outcomes. At the same time, rapid large language model scaling, expanded enterprise adoption of GPT systems, and AI infrastructure demand fuel optimism for higher multiples in the $1.75–2 trillion range. Key near-term catalysts include revenue trajectory through year-end and any updates on regulatory review or additional funding rounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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