OpenAI’s IPO valuation market reflects uncertainty around timing and pricing power, with the $1.25T–$1.5T bracket holding a narrow lead at 20.5% implied probability. The company’s March 2026 $852 billion post-money round and August secondary marks near $894 billion set the baseline, while CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion minimum has shifted expectations toward a 2027 debut after the September 2026 window passed without a listing. Persistent operating losses near $14 billion on a roughly $40 billion annualized revenue run rate, alongside competitive pressure from Anthropic’s earlier IPO path, weigh on multiples. Traders appear to price in revenue acceleration potential against dilution and macro risk appetite, leaving the $1.5T–$2T range tightly contested as key swing factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1.25T–$1.5T 20.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.7%
$2.5T+ 14.6%
$124,443 交易量
$124,443 交易量
2027-06-30
<$1T
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
21%
$1.5T–$1.75T
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
5%
$2.5T+
15%
$1.25T–$1.5T 20.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.7%
$2.5T+ 14.6%
$124,443 交易量
$124,443 交易量
2027-06-30
<$1T
$15,466 交易量
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$14,056 交易量
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$6,920 交易量
21%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$7,286 交易量
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$13,585 交易量
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,564 交易量
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$6,826 交易量
5%
$2.5T+
$57,741 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s IPO valuation market reflects uncertainty around timing and pricing power, with the $1.25T–$1.5T bracket holding a narrow lead at 20.5% implied probability. The company’s March 2026 $852 billion post-money round and August secondary marks near $894 billion set the baseline, while CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion minimum has shifted expectations toward a 2027 debut after the September 2026 window passed without a listing. Persistent operating losses near $14 billion on a roughly $40 billion annualized revenue run rate, alongside competitive pressure from Anthropic’s earlier IPO path, weigh on multiples. Traders appear to price in revenue acceleration potential against dilution and macro risk appetite, leaving the $1.5T–$2T range tightly contested as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
交易量
$124,443结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s IPO valuation market reflects uncertainty around timing and pricing power, with the $1.25T–$1.5T bracket holding a narrow lead at 20.5% implied probability. The company’s March 2026 $852 billion post-money round and August secondary marks near $894 billion set the baseline, while CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion minimum has shifted expectations toward a 2027 debut after the September 2026 window passed without a listing. Persistent operating losses near $14 billion on a roughly $40 billion annualized revenue run rate, alongside competitive pressure from Anthropic’s earlier IPO path, weigh on multiples. Traders appear to price in revenue acceleration potential against dilution and macro risk appetite, leaving the $1.5T–$2T range tightly contested as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$124,443结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETOpenAI’s IPO valuation market reflects uncertainty around timing and pricing power, with the $1.25T–$1.5T bracket holding a narrow lead at 20.5% implied probability. The company’s March 2026 $852 billion post-money round and August secondary marks near $894 billion set the baseline, while CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion minimum has shifted expectations toward a 2027 debut after the September 2026 window passed without a listing. Persistent operating losses near $14 billion on a roughly $40 billion annualized revenue run rate, alongside competitive pressure from Anthropic’s earlier IPO path, weigh on multiples. Traders appear to price in revenue acceleration potential against dilution and macro risk appetite, leaving the $1.5T–$2T range tightly contested as key swing factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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