SpaceX's completed June 2026 IPO at a roughly $1.77 trillion valuation and record $75 billion raise anchors trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting its unmatched scale relative to peers and status as the largest listing to date. Anthropic's June confidential S-1 filing, paired with a $965 billion private valuation from its Series H round, sustains 35% odds by positioning the AI firm for a potential fall listing that could approach $1 trillion. xAI's lower 25.5% reflects its February all-stock integration into SpaceX at a combined $1.25 trillion level, limiting standalone IPO prospects. Later entrants such as OpenAI, with filings at sub-$1 trillion valuations, register negligible odds given timing and size gaps. Key remaining catalysts include Anthropic's pricing window and any regulatory or market shifts that could compress or expand post-IPO capitalizations before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于SpaceX 65%
Anthropic 35.0%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,400,626 交易量
$5,400,626 交易量
2026-12-31
SpaceX
65%
Anthropic
35%
OpenAI
<1%
Discord
<1%
字节跳动
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Kraken
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
SpaceX 65%
Anthropic 35.0%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,400,626 交易量
$5,400,626 交易量
2026-12-31
SpaceX
$734,338 交易量
65%
Anthropic
$772,856 交易量
35%
OpenAI
$475,798 交易量
<1%
Discord
$176,728 交易量
<1%
字节跳动
$208,389 交易量
<1%
Stripe
$128,175 交易量
<1%
Kraken
$655,953 交易量
<1%
SHEIN
$581,615 交易量
<1%
Waymo
$316,150 交易量
<1%
Revolut
$633,436 交易量
<1%
Perplexity AI
$104,136 交易量
<1%
Databricks
$613,052 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's completed June 2026 IPO at a roughly $1.77 trillion valuation and record $75 billion raise anchors trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting its unmatched scale relative to peers and status as the largest listing to date. Anthropic's June confidential S-1 filing, paired with a $965 billion private valuation from its Series H round, sustains 35% odds by positioning the AI firm for a potential fall listing that could approach $1 trillion. xAI's lower 25.5% reflects its February all-stock integration into SpaceX at a combined $1.25 trillion level, limiting standalone IPO prospects. Later entrants such as OpenAI, with filings at sub-$1 trillion valuations, register negligible odds given timing and size gaps. Key remaining catalysts include Anthropic's pricing window and any regulatory or market shifts that could compress or expand post-IPO capitalizations before year-end.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
交易量
$5,400,626结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's completed June 2026 IPO at a roughly $1.77 trillion valuation and record $75 billion raise anchors trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting its unmatched scale relative to peers and status as the largest listing to date. Anthropic's June confidential S-1 filing, paired with a $965 billion private valuation from its Series H round, sustains 35% odds by positioning the AI firm for a potential fall listing that could approach $1 trillion. xAI's lower 25.5% reflects its February all-stock integration into SpaceX at a combined $1.25 trillion level, limiting standalone IPO prospects. Later entrants such as OpenAI, with filings at sub-$1 trillion valuations, register negligible odds given timing and size gaps. Key remaining catalysts include Anthropic's pricing window and any regulatory or market shifts that could compress or expand post-IPO capitalizations before year-end.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$5,400,626结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's completed June 2026 IPO at a roughly $1.77 trillion valuation and record $75 billion raise anchors trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting its unmatched scale relative to peers and status as the largest listing to date. Anthropic's June confidential S-1 filing, paired with a $965 billion private valuation from its Series H round, sustains 35% odds by positioning the AI firm for a potential fall listing that could approach $1 trillion. xAI's lower 25.5% reflects its February all-stock integration into SpaceX at a combined $1.25 trillion level, limiting standalone IPO prospects. Later entrants such as OpenAI, with filings at sub-$1 trillion valuations, register negligible odds given timing and size gaps. Key remaining catalysts include Anthropic's pricing window and any regulatory or market shifts that could compress or expand post-IPO capitalizations before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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