Anthropic’s rapid iteration pace drives current trader sentiment around the next Claude Sonnet release, following the June 30, 2026 launch of Sonnet 5, which emphasized agentic capabilities in coding, tool use, and autonomous task execution at competitive pricing. This followed Sonnet 4.6 in February 2026 by roughly four months, aligning with the company’s pattern of frequent mid-tier updates that outpace larger Opus models in everyday benchmarks. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models continues to shape expectations, while upcoming developer events and potential regulatory scrutiny on AI capabilities could influence timelines. Traders monitor Anthropic announcements for confirmed release windows or feature thresholds that would resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-08-31
8月31日
11%
10月31日
54%
12月31日
64%
$3,929 交易量
8月31日
$562 交易量
11%
10月31日
$257 交易量
54%
12月31日
$3,110 交易量
64%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration pace drives current trader sentiment around the next Claude Sonnet release, following the June 30, 2026 launch of Sonnet 5, which emphasized agentic capabilities in coding, tool use, and autonomous task execution at competitive pricing. This followed Sonnet 4.6 in February 2026 by roughly four months, aligning with the company’s pattern of frequent mid-tier updates that outpace larger Opus models in everyday benchmarks. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models continues to shape expectations, while upcoming developer events and potential regulatory scrutiny on AI capabilities could influence timelines. Traders monitor Anthropic announcements for confirmed release windows or feature thresholds that would resolve the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
交易量
$3,929结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration pace drives current trader sentiment around the next Claude Sonnet release, following the June 30, 2026 launch of Sonnet 5, which emphasized agentic capabilities in coding, tool use, and autonomous task execution at competitive pricing. This followed Sonnet 4.6 in February 2026 by roughly four months, aligning with the company’s pattern of frequent mid-tier updates that outpace larger Opus models in everyday benchmarks. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models continues to shape expectations, while upcoming developer events and potential regulatory scrutiny on AI capabilities could influence timelines. Traders monitor Anthropic announcements for confirmed release windows or feature thresholds that would resolve the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$3,929结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid iteration pace drives current trader sentiment around the next Claude Sonnet release, following the June 30, 2026 launch of Sonnet 5, which emphasized agentic capabilities in coding, tool use, and autonomous task execution at competitive pricing. This followed Sonnet 4.6 in February 2026 by roughly four months, aligning with the company’s pattern of frequent mid-tier updates that outpace larger Opus models in everyday benchmarks. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models continues to shape expectations, while upcoming developer events and potential regulatory scrutiny on AI capabilities could influence timelines. Traders monitor Anthropic announcements for confirmed release windows or feature thresholds that would resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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