Traders see closely matched probabilities across multiple AI labs for third place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by end of October because no single company dominates mathematical reasoning benchmarks. Chinese labs including Alibaba, Baidu, and Moonshot compete directly with Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic through rapid releases of models optimized for chain-of-thought, test-time compute, and specialized math training data. Recent leaderboard shifts on arena.ai reflect frequent ranking changes driven by new model variants, with factors like context length, inference efficiency, and benchmark-specific fine-tuning creating narrow gaps. Key upcoming catalysts include additional frontier releases and potential updates to the Text Arena evaluation before October, amplifying uncertainty in this fast-evolving category.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于谷歌 23%
阿里巴巴 22%
OpenAI 11%
百度 11%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
谷歌
21%
阿里巴巴
22%
OpenAI
11%
百度
11%
Z.ai
11%
Moonshot
9%
Meta
8%
Anthropic
7%
美团
6%
Mistral
6%
微软
6%
Nvidia
6%
MiniMax
6%
字节跳动
6%
亚马逊
1%
小米
1%
StepFun
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
腾讯
1%
谷歌 23%
阿里巴巴 22%
OpenAI 11%
百度 11%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
谷歌
$56 交易量
21%
阿里巴巴
$95 交易量
22%
OpenAI
$109 交易量
11%
百度
$90 交易量
11%
Z.ai
$80 交易量
11%
Moonshot
$90 交易量
9%
Meta
$80 交易量
8%
Anthropic
$80 交易量
7%
美团
$223 交易量
6%
Mistral
$184 交易量
6%
微软
$103 交易量
6%
Nvidia
$127 交易量
6%
MiniMax
$186 交易量
6%
字节跳动
$141 交易量
6%
亚马逊
$84 交易量
1%
小米
$80 交易量
1%
StepFun
$71 交易量
1%
SpaceXAI
$75 交易量
1%
DeepSeek
$65 交易量
1%
腾讯
$65 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see closely matched probabilities across multiple AI labs for third place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by end of October because no single company dominates mathematical reasoning benchmarks. Chinese labs including Alibaba, Baidu, and Moonshot compete directly with Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic through rapid releases of models optimized for chain-of-thought, test-time compute, and specialized math training data. Recent leaderboard shifts on arena.ai reflect frequent ranking changes driven by new model variants, with factors like context length, inference efficiency, and benchmark-specific fine-tuning creating narrow gaps. Key upcoming catalysts include additional frontier releases and potential updates to the Text Arena evaluation before October, amplifying uncertainty in this fast-evolving category.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
交易量
$2,084结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see closely matched probabilities across multiple AI labs for third place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by end of October because no single company dominates mathematical reasoning benchmarks. Chinese labs including Alibaba, Baidu, and Moonshot compete directly with Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic through rapid releases of models optimized for chain-of-thought, test-time compute, and specialized math training data. Recent leaderboard shifts on arena.ai reflect frequent ranking changes driven by new model variants, with factors like context length, inference efficiency, and benchmark-specific fine-tuning creating narrow gaps. Key upcoming catalysts include additional frontier releases and potential updates to the Text Arena evaluation before October, amplifying uncertainty in this fast-evolving category.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$2,084结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched probabilities across multiple AI labs for third place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by end of October because no single company dominates mathematical reasoning benchmarks. Chinese labs including Alibaba, Baidu, and Moonshot compete directly with Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic through rapid releases of models optimized for chain-of-thought, test-time compute, and specialized math training data. Recent leaderboard shifts on arena.ai reflect frequent ranking changes driven by new model variants, with factors like context length, inference efficiency, and benchmark-specific fine-tuning creating narrow gaps. Key upcoming catalysts include additional frontier releases and potential updates to the Text Arena evaluation before October, amplifying uncertainty in this fast-evolving category.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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