Meta's ongoing push to close the gap with OpenAI and Anthropic centers on Watermelon, its next frontier large language model after the Muse Spark series. Chief AI officer Alexandr Wang stated in July that the still-in-training model matches GPT-5.5 on internal benchmarks while using roughly 10 times the compute of prior versions. Internal documents from August targeted an October 2026 release, potentially powering consumer AI agents like the codenamed Hatch project. The September 3 launch of Muse Spark 1.3, with gains in coding and agentic capabilities, reinforces the timeline, though no public confirmation exists and product schedules often shift amid massive infrastructure spending. Traders watch for official announcements or benchmark leaks that could clarify resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-09-30
9 月 30 日
14%
10 月 31 日
63%
11月30日
78%
$221 交易量
9 月 30 日
$20 交易量
14%
10 月 31 日
$0 交易量
63%
11月30日
$201 交易量
78%
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta's ongoing push to close the gap with OpenAI and Anthropic centers on Watermelon, its next frontier large language model after the Muse Spark series. Chief AI officer Alexandr Wang stated in July that the still-in-training model matches GPT-5.5 on internal benchmarks while using roughly 10 times the compute of prior versions. Internal documents from August targeted an October 2026 release, potentially powering consumer AI agents like the codenamed Hatch project. The September 3 launch of Muse Spark 1.3, with gains in coding and agentic capabilities, reinforces the timeline, though no public confirmation exists and product schedules often shift amid massive infrastructure spending. Traders watch for official announcements or benchmark leaks that could clarify resolution criteria.
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
交易量
$221结束日期
2026-11-30市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ETOn September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta's ongoing push to close the gap with OpenAI and Anthropic centers on Watermelon, its next frontier large language model after the Muse Spark series. Chief AI officer Alexandr Wang stated in July that the still-in-training model matches GPT-5.5 on internal benchmarks while using roughly 10 times the compute of prior versions. Internal documents from August targeted an October 2026 release, potentially powering consumer AI agents like the codenamed Hatch project. The September 3 launch of Muse Spark 1.3, with gains in coding and agentic capabilities, reinforces the timeline, though no public confirmation exists and product schedules often shift amid massive infrastructure spending. Traders watch for official announcements or benchmark leaks that could clarify resolution criteria.
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$221结束日期
2026-11-30市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ETMeta's ongoing push to close the gap with OpenAI and Anthropic centers on Watermelon, its next frontier large language model after the Muse Spark series. Chief AI officer Alexandr Wang stated in July that the still-in-training model matches GPT-5.5 on internal benchmarks while using roughly 10 times the compute of prior versions. Internal documents from August targeted an October 2026 release, potentially powering consumer AI agents like the codenamed Hatch project. The September 3 launch of Muse Spark 1.3, with gains in coding and agentic capabilities, reinforces the timeline, though no public confirmation exists and product schedules often shift amid massive infrastructure spending. Traders watch for official announcements or benchmark leaks that could clarify resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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