OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Luna model drove the bulk of its lab’s token volume on OpenRouter during the week of August 31 to September 6, placing it clearly second behind Tencent’s Hy4 preview amid 115 trillion total tokens processed. Sustained developer adoption of the discounted Luna and Terra variants, combined with strong performance in agentic and coding workloads, underpinned the market-implied 99.1% odds for OpenAI as the #2 lab. Chinese providers such as DeepSeek, Z.ai, and Qwen captured leading individual models overall but remained fragmented enough that week to leave OpenAI ahead of the pack for second place. A last-minute surge in any single competing lab’s flagship release or revised usage reporting could still alter the final ranking before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于OpenAI 100.0%
Meta <1%
DeepSeek <1%
Z.ai <1%
$12,064 交易量
$12,064 交易量

DeepSeek
否

Z.ai
否

OpenAI
是

腾讯
否

小米
否

谷歌
否

Anthropic
否

MiniMax
否

Nvidia
否

Qwen
否

Meta
否

xAI
否
OpenAI 100.0%
Meta <1%
DeepSeek <1%
Z.ai <1%
$12,064 交易量
$12,064 交易量

DeepSeek
否

Z.ai
否

OpenAI
是

腾讯
否

小米
否

谷歌
否

Anthropic
否

MiniMax
否

Nvidia
否

Qwen
否

Meta
否

xAI
否
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
市场开放时间: Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 2nd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Luna model drove the bulk of its lab’s token volume on OpenRouter during the week of August 31 to September 6, placing it clearly second behind Tencent’s Hy4 preview amid 115 trillion total tokens processed. Sustained developer adoption of the discounted Luna and Terra variants, combined with strong performance in agentic and coding workloads, underpinned the market-implied 99.1% odds for OpenAI as the #2 lab. Chinese providers such as DeepSeek, Z.ai, and Qwen captured leading individual models overall but remained fragmented enough that week to leave OpenAI ahead of the pack for second place. A last-minute surge in any single competing lab’s flagship release or revised usage reporting could still alter the final ranking before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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