Despite numerous state-level AI measures advancing in 2026 and the Trump administration’s March release of a national legislative framework prioritizing child protections and preemption of certain state rules, Congress has made limited headway on comprehensive federal AI safety legislation. Activity has centered on narrower proposals addressing deepfakes, chatbot safeguards, and model transparency, while broader bills face partisan divides over regulatory scope and innovation priorities. Ongoing House discussions about limiting state oversight of frontier developers further signal that a unified national safety bill remains stalled, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in the 70.5 percent probability assigned to no enactment before 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$98,190 交易量
$98,190 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$98,190 交易量
$98,190 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Despite numerous state-level AI measures advancing in 2026 and the Trump administration’s March release of a national legislative framework prioritizing child protections and preemption of certain state rules, Congress has made limited headway on comprehensive federal AI safety legislation. Activity has centered on narrower proposals addressing deepfakes, chatbot safeguards, and model transparency, while broader bills face partisan divides over regulatory scope and innovation priorities. Ongoing House discussions about limiting state oversight of frontier developers further signal that a unified national safety bill remains stalled, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in the 70.5 percent probability assigned to no enactment before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
交易量
$98,190结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Despite numerous state-level AI measures advancing in 2026 and the Trump administration’s March release of a national legislative framework prioritizing child protections and preemption of certain state rules, Congress has made limited headway on comprehensive federal AI safety legislation. Activity has centered on narrower proposals addressing deepfakes, chatbot safeguards, and model transparency, while broader bills face partisan divides over regulatory scope and innovation priorities. Ongoing House discussions about limiting state oversight of frontier developers further signal that a unified national safety bill remains stalled, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in the 70.5 percent probability assigned to no enactment before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$98,190结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite numerous state-level AI measures advancing in 2026 and the Trump administration’s March release of a national legislative framework prioritizing child protections and preemption of certain state rules, Congress has made limited headway on comprehensive federal AI safety legislation. Activity has centered on narrower proposals addressing deepfakes, chatbot safeguards, and model transparency, while broader bills face partisan divides over regulatory scope and innovation priorities. Ongoing House discussions about limiting state oversight of frontier developers further signal that a unified national safety bill remains stalled, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in the 70.5 percent probability assigned to no enactment before 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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