Anthropic's leading 51.5% market-implied odds reflect its Claude Opus 5 series topping the WebDev AI Leaderboard on Arena.ai through superior performance in agentic frontend coding tasks, including multi-step HTML/React workflows and real-user app building. Recent releases like claude-opus-5-max demonstrate strong long-context reasoning and consistency that edge out competitors on benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and specialized web dev arenas, where models must handle iterative UI and full-stack edits. Close contention around 50% for several entrants stems from rapid iteration across labs, with OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants, Google's Gemini 3.7, and Moonshot's Kimi K3 posting competitive scores in agentic and frontend evaluations. Key catalysts ahead of the late-October resolution include any new model drops or benchmark updates that could shift developer-voted rankings before the cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic 52%
谷歌 10.7%
SpaceXAI 11%
Mistral 8%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
Anthropic
52%
谷歌
11%
SpaceXAI
11%
Mistral
8%
DeepSeek
7%
Meta
6%
OpenAI
6%
Moonshot
5%
阿里巴巴
4%
字节跳动
2%
小米
2%
Thinky
2%
Poolside
1%
Z.ai
1%
腾讯
1%
MiniMax
1%
Anthropic 52%
谷歌 10.7%
SpaceXAI 11%
Mistral 8%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
Anthropic
$200 交易量
52%
谷歌
$95 交易量
11%
SpaceXAI
$73 交易量
11%
Mistral
$73 交易量
8%
DeepSeek
$73 交易量
7%
Meta
$177 交易量
6%
OpenAI
$103 交易量
6%
Moonshot
$73 交易量
5%
阿里巴巴
$73 交易量
4%
字节跳动
$150 交易量
2%
小米
$152 交易量
2%
Thinky
$137 交易量
2%
Poolside
$196 交易量
1%
Z.ai
$63 交易量
1%
腾讯
$154 交易量
1%
MiniMax
$138 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's leading 51.5% market-implied odds reflect its Claude Opus 5 series topping the WebDev AI Leaderboard on Arena.ai through superior performance in agentic frontend coding tasks, including multi-step HTML/React workflows and real-user app building. Recent releases like claude-opus-5-max demonstrate strong long-context reasoning and consistency that edge out competitors on benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and specialized web dev arenas, where models must handle iterative UI and full-stack edits. Close contention around 50% for several entrants stems from rapid iteration across labs, with OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants, Google's Gemini 3.7, and Moonshot's Kimi K3 posting competitive scores in agentic and frontend evaluations. Key catalysts ahead of the late-October resolution include any new model drops or benchmark updates that could shift developer-voted rankings before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,931结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's leading 51.5% market-implied odds reflect its Claude Opus 5 series topping the WebDev AI Leaderboard on Arena.ai through superior performance in agentic frontend coding tasks, including multi-step HTML/React workflows and real-user app building. Recent releases like claude-opus-5-max demonstrate strong long-context reasoning and consistency that edge out competitors on benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and specialized web dev arenas, where models must handle iterative UI and full-stack edits. Close contention around 50% for several entrants stems from rapid iteration across labs, with OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants, Google's Gemini 3.7, and Moonshot's Kimi K3 posting competitive scores in agentic and frontend evaluations. Key catalysts ahead of the late-October resolution include any new model drops or benchmark updates that could shift developer-voted rankings before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$1,931结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's leading 51.5% market-implied odds reflect its Claude Opus 5 series topping the WebDev AI Leaderboard on Arena.ai through superior performance in agentic frontend coding tasks, including multi-step HTML/React workflows and real-user app building. Recent releases like claude-opus-5-max demonstrate strong long-context reasoning and consistency that edge out competitors on benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and specialized web dev arenas, where models must handle iterative UI and full-stack edits. Close contention around 50% for several entrants stems from rapid iteration across labs, with OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants, Google's Gemini 3.7, and Moonshot's Kimi K3 posting competitive scores in agentic and frontend evaluations. Key catalysts ahead of the late-October resolution include any new model drops or benchmark updates that could shift developer-voted rankings before the cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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