Google holds near-certain implied probability as the #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share for the week of August 31 due to its consistent mid-tier token volume amid volatile leadership from lower-cost Chinese providers. Recent leaderboards show DeepSeek, Tencent, Xiaomi, and Z.ai models frequently claiming the top spots through aggressive pricing and strong agentic or coding performance, compressing shares among U.S. labs while Google’s Gemini variants maintain steadier developer routing without the extreme swings seen in open-weight alternatives. This positioning aligns with broader 2026 trends of Chinese models capturing over half of routed volume. A late-week surge by another lab or unexpected Gemini uptake could still shift the final ranking before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Google 100.0%
OpenAI 2.1%
小米 <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$10,185 交易量
$10,185 交易量

DeepSeek
否

Z.ai
否

OpenAI
否

腾讯
否

小米
否

是

Anthropic
否

MiniMax
否

Nvidia
否

Qwen
否

Meta
否

xAI
否
Google 100.0%
OpenAI 2.1%
小米 <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$10,185 交易量
$10,185 交易量

DeepSeek
否

Z.ai
否

OpenAI
否

腾讯
否

小米
否

是

Anthropic
否

MiniMax
否

Nvidia
否

Qwen
否

Meta
否

xAI
否
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
市场开放时间: Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Google holds near-certain implied probability as the #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share for the week of August 31 due to its consistent mid-tier token volume amid volatile leadership from lower-cost Chinese providers. Recent leaderboards show DeepSeek, Tencent, Xiaomi, and Z.ai models frequently claiming the top spots through aggressive pricing and strong agentic or coding performance, compressing shares among U.S. labs while Google’s Gemini variants maintain steadier developer routing without the extreme swings seen in open-weight alternatives. This positioning aligns with broader 2026 trends of Chinese models capturing over half of routed volume. A late-week surge by another lab or unexpected Gemini uptake could still shift the final ranking before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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