Waymo’s rapid 2026 rollout of fully autonomous robotaxi service, including July launches across San Diego, Las Vegas, Denver, and Tampa plus earlier additions in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, has positioned the company at roughly 14 operating markets and driven the 16-19 city range to a 63.5% market-implied probability. Strong funding, improved mapping efficiency, and regulatory approvals in multiple states have accelerated commercial deployments beyond initial 2025 levels, while announced targets for Washington, D.C., Nashville, Detroit, Seattle, and first international entries in London and Tokyo support further gains by year-end. Trader consensus reflects the pace of these verified expansions and the realistic timeline constraints of scaling fleets and securing permits, with 12-15 cities as the main alternative if additional launches slip.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于16-19 64%
12-15 24.9%
20-23 8%
少于12个 2.7%
$50,402 交易量
$50,402 交易量
2026-12-31
少于12个
3%
12-15
25%
16-19
64%
20-23
8%
24-27
1%
28-31
2%
32+
2%
16-19 64%
12-15 24.9%
20-23 8%
少于12个 2.7%
$50,402 交易量
$50,402 交易量
2026-12-31
少于12个
$3,906 交易量
3%
12-15
$11,712 交易量
25%
16-19
$8,598 交易量
64%
20-23
$10,595 交易量
8%
24-27
$8,797 交易量
1%
28-31
$3,452 交易量
2%
32+
$3,343 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s rapid 2026 rollout of fully autonomous robotaxi service, including July launches across San Diego, Las Vegas, Denver, and Tampa plus earlier additions in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, has positioned the company at roughly 14 operating markets and driven the 16-19 city range to a 63.5% market-implied probability. Strong funding, improved mapping efficiency, and regulatory approvals in multiple states have accelerated commercial deployments beyond initial 2025 levels, while announced targets for Washington, D.C., Nashville, Detroit, Seattle, and first international entries in London and Tokyo support further gains by year-end. Trader consensus reflects the pace of these verified expansions and the realistic timeline constraints of scaling fleets and securing permits, with 12-15 cities as the main alternative if additional launches slip.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
交易量
$50,402结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s rapid 2026 rollout of fully autonomous robotaxi service, including July launches across San Diego, Las Vegas, Denver, and Tampa plus earlier additions in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, has positioned the company at roughly 14 operating markets and driven the 16-19 city range to a 63.5% market-implied probability. Strong funding, improved mapping efficiency, and regulatory approvals in multiple states have accelerated commercial deployments beyond initial 2025 levels, while announced targets for Washington, D.C., Nashville, Detroit, Seattle, and first international entries in London and Tokyo support further gains by year-end. Trader consensus reflects the pace of these verified expansions and the realistic timeline constraints of scaling fleets and securing permits, with 12-15 cities as the main alternative if additional launches slip.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$50,402结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Waymo’s rapid 2026 rollout of fully autonomous robotaxi service, including July launches across San Diego, Las Vegas, Denver, and Tampa plus earlier additions in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, has positioned the company at roughly 14 operating markets and driven the 16-19 city range to a 63.5% market-implied probability. Strong funding, improved mapping efficiency, and regulatory approvals in multiple states have accelerated commercial deployments beyond initial 2025 levels, while announced targets for Washington, D.C., Nashville, Detroit, Seattle, and first international entries in London and Tokyo support further gains by year-end. Trader consensus reflects the pace of these verified expansions and the realistic timeline constraints of scaling fleets and securing permits, with 12-15 cities as the main alternative if additional launches slip.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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