Stripe's February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation anchors current trader sentiment for its potential IPO closing market cap, reflecting robust 2025 payment volume of $1.9 trillion (up 34% year-over-year) and accelerating revenue from billing and infrastructure products. Co-founders' repeated signals of no near-term IPO plans, absent any S-1 filing or banking mandates as of mid-2026, sustain elevated implied odds around 43% for no listing by December 31, 2027, while the tight clustering near 44% for sub-$150 billion outcomes versus 43% for $500 billion-plus highlights uncertainty over IPO timing, macroeconomic conditions, and fintech multiples at debut. Recent secondary pricing near $160-167 billion and strong free cash flow provide support for mid-range resolutions if market conditions improve, though the absence of fresh catalysts keeps probabilities contested across brackets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2500亿-3000亿美元 70%
低于1500亿美元 44%
截至2027年12月31日没有IPO 44%
5000亿美元以上 43%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
低于1500亿美元
44%
1500亿美元-2000亿美元
37%
2,000亿-2,500亿美元
9%
2500亿-3000亿美元
70%
3,000亿美元-3,500亿美元
-
3500亿-4000亿美元
40%
4000亿-4500亿美元
34%
4,500亿-5,000亿美元
22%
5000亿美元以上
43%
截至2027年12月31日没有IPO
44%
2500亿-3000亿美元 70%
低于1500亿美元 44%
截至2027年12月31日没有IPO 44%
5000亿美元以上 43%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
低于1500亿美元
$50 交易量
44%
1500亿美元-2000亿美元
$69 交易量
37%
2,000亿-2,500亿美元
$70 交易量
9%
2500亿-3000亿美元
$94 交易量
70%
3,000亿美元-3,500亿美元
$94 交易量
-
3500亿-4000亿美元
$81 交易量
40%
4000亿-4500亿美元
$94 交易量
34%
4,500亿-5,000亿美元
$73 交易量
22%
5000亿美元以上
$47 交易量
43%
截至2027年12月31日没有IPO
$63 交易量
44%
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Stripe's February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation anchors current trader sentiment for its potential IPO closing market cap, reflecting robust 2025 payment volume of $1.9 trillion (up 34% year-over-year) and accelerating revenue from billing and infrastructure products. Co-founders' repeated signals of no near-term IPO plans, absent any S-1 filing or banking mandates as of mid-2026, sustain elevated implied odds around 43% for no listing by December 31, 2027, while the tight clustering near 44% for sub-$150 billion outcomes versus 43% for $500 billion-plus highlights uncertainty over IPO timing, macroeconomic conditions, and fintech multiples at debut. Recent secondary pricing near $160-167 billion and strong free cash flow provide support for mid-range resolutions if market conditions improve, though the absence of fresh catalysts keeps probabilities contested across brackets.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
交易量
$735结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Stripe's February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation anchors current trader sentiment for its potential IPO closing market cap, reflecting robust 2025 payment volume of $1.9 trillion (up 34% year-over-year) and accelerating revenue from billing and infrastructure products. Co-founders' repeated signals of no near-term IPO plans, absent any S-1 filing or banking mandates as of mid-2026, sustain elevated implied odds around 43% for no listing by December 31, 2027, while the tight clustering near 44% for sub-$150 billion outcomes versus 43% for $500 billion-plus highlights uncertainty over IPO timing, macroeconomic conditions, and fintech multiples at debut. Recent secondary pricing near $160-167 billion and strong free cash flow provide support for mid-range resolutions if market conditions improve, though the absence of fresh catalysts keeps probabilities contested across brackets.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
交易量
$735结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stripe's February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation anchors current trader sentiment for its potential IPO closing market cap, reflecting robust 2025 payment volume of $1.9 trillion (up 34% year-over-year) and accelerating revenue from billing and infrastructure products. Co-founders' repeated signals of no near-term IPO plans, absent any S-1 filing or banking mandates as of mid-2026, sustain elevated implied odds around 43% for no listing by December 31, 2027, while the tight clustering near 44% for sub-$150 billion outcomes versus 43% for $500 billion-plus highlights uncertainty over IPO timing, macroeconomic conditions, and fintech multiples at debut. Recent secondary pricing near $160-167 billion and strong free cash flow provide support for mid-range resolutions if market conditions improve, though the absence of fresh catalysts keeps probabilities contested across brackets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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