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icon for SpaceX IPO : 2026年正式加入标准普尔500指数?

SpaceX IPO : 2026年正式加入标准普尔500指数?

icon for SpaceX IPO : 2026年正式加入标准普尔500指数?

SpaceX IPO : 2026年正式加入标准普尔500指数?

11% 概率
Polymarket
最新

11% 概率
Polymarket
最新
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).S&P Dow Jones Indices confirmed in early June 2026 that it will not waive its standard eligibility rules to fast-track mega-cap IPOs such as SpaceX into the S&P 500. SpaceX filed its S-1 prospectus in May and targets a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX around June 12 at a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, yet index criteria require at least one year of public trading plus sustained positive earnings across recent quarters and adequate public float. SpaceX has reported ongoing losses, further delaying any potential inclusion until well into 2027 at the earliest. Trader consensus at 89.5% against 2026 addition reflects these fixed procedural timelines and the absence of rule changes, with the next key milestone being post-IPO quarterly financial reporting and index committee reviews.

The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
交易量
$1,025
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).S&P Dow Jones Indices confirmed in early June 2026 that it will not waive its standard eligibility rules to fast-track mega-cap IPOs such as SpaceX into the S&P 500. SpaceX filed its S-1 prospectus in May and targets a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX around June 12 at a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, yet index criteria require at least one year of public trading plus sustained positive earnings across recent quarters and adequate public float. SpaceX has reported ongoing losses, further delaying any potential inclusion until well into 2027 at the earliest. Trader consensus at 89.5% against 2026 addition reflects these fixed procedural timelines and the absence of rule changes, with the next key milestone being post-IPO quarterly financial reporting and index committee reviews.

The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
交易量
$1,025
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).

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常见问题

"SpaceX IPO : 2026年正式加入标准普尔500指数?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"问题:SpaceX IPO:将在2026年正式加入标普500指数?",概率为 11%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 11¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 11%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"SpaceX IPO : 2026年正式加入标准普尔500指数?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 9, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"SpaceX IPO : 2026年正式加入标准普尔500指数?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"SpaceX IPO : 2026年正式加入标准普尔500指数?"的当前领先者是"问题:SpaceX IPO:将在2026年正式加入标普500指数?",概率为 11%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 11%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"SpaceX IPO : 2026年正式加入标准普尔500指数?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。