Traders' tight consensus around $1.5T–$2.5T market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO—implied probabilities of 27.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T and 26.5% for $1.5T–$2.0T—stems from the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and Nasdaq listing at $1.75T–$2T+ valuation with a potential $75 billion raise. Recent tender offers valued shares at $800 billion in December 2025, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–$24 billion 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in launch services. Competitive edges include unmatched launch cadence versus Blue Origin and ULA, Starship orbital milestones, and DoD contracts, though macro volatility and FAA approvals for Starship remain key swing factors ahead of mid-June pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,972,915 交易量
$1,972,915 交易量
低于1.0万亿美元
5%
1.0万亿-1.5万亿
9%
1.5万亿-2.0万亿
27%
2.0万亿-2.5万亿
28%
2.5万亿-3.0万亿
21%
3.0万亿-3.5万亿
9%
3.5万亿+
2%
2028年前不上市
2%
$1,972,915 交易量
$1,972,915 交易量
低于1.0万亿美元
$73,327 交易量
5%
1.0万亿-1.5万亿
$64,077 交易量
9%
1.5万亿-2.0万亿
$74,313 交易量
27%
2.0万亿-2.5万亿
$99,133 交易量
28%
2.5万亿-3.0万亿
$820,026 交易量
21%
3.0万亿-3.5万亿
$488,877 交易量
9%
3.5万亿+
$72,081 交易量
2%
2028年前不上市
$281,081 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders' tight consensus around $1.5T–$2.5T market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO—implied probabilities of 27.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T and 26.5% for $1.5T–$2.0T—stems from the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and Nasdaq listing at $1.75T–$2T+ valuation with a potential $75 billion raise. Recent tender offers valued shares at $800 billion in December 2025, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–$24 billion 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in launch services. Competitive edges include unmatched launch cadence versus Blue Origin and ULA, Starship orbital milestones, and DoD contracts, though macro volatility and FAA approvals for Starship remain key swing factors ahead of mid-June pricing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
交易量
$1,972,915市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders' tight consensus around $1.5T–$2.5T market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO—implied probabilities of 27.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T and 26.5% for $1.5T–$2.0T—stems from the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and Nasdaq listing at $1.75T–$2T+ valuation with a potential $75 billion raise. Recent tender offers valued shares at $800 billion in December 2025, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–$24 billion 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in launch services. Competitive edges include unmatched launch cadence versus Blue Origin and ULA, Starship orbital milestones, and DoD contracts, though macro volatility and FAA approvals for Starship remain key swing factors ahead of mid-June pricing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$1,972,915市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' tight consensus around $1.5T–$2.5T market caps for SpaceX's anticipated IPO—implied probabilities of 27.5% for $2.0T–$2.5T and 26.5% for $1.5T–$2.0T—stems from the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and Nasdaq listing at $1.75T–$2T+ valuation with a potential $75 billion raise. Recent tender offers valued shares at $800 billion in December 2025, fueled by Starlink's projected $22–$24 billion 2026 revenue from its expanding satellite constellation and reusable Falcon rocket dominance in launch services. Competitive edges include unmatched launch cadence versus Blue Origin and ULA, Starship orbital milestones, and DoD contracts, though macro volatility and FAA approvals for Starship remain key swing factors ahead of mid-June pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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