Alibaba maintains a narrow lead in trader consensus for the top Chinese AI company by end of May, driven by its May 13 earnings report highlighting AI-related cloud revenue at 30 percent of external sales and plans to exceed prior three-year investment targets of 380 billion yuan. The company's Qwen model family continues scaling with new data centers and agentic integrations like shopping assistants on Taobao, reinforcing its position in open-source benchmarks and monetization momentum. Baidu trails closely after its May 14 Create 2026 conference, where it introduced DuMate and other agents alongside Ernie 5.1 updates, signaling a shift toward practical AI applications and daily active agent metrics. Other contenders such as Z.ai and DeepSeek hold smaller shares amid steady but less publicized infrastructure gains, while the wisdom of crowds in current pricing reflects these immediate catalysts over longer-term model releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Alibaba 52%
Baidu 39%
Z.ai 6%
ByteDance 2.8%
$128,290 交易量
$128,290 交易量
2026-05-31
Alibaba
52%
Baidu
39%
Z.ai
6%
ByteDance
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Moonshot
1%
MiniMax
1%
Tencent
<1%
Meituan
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Alibaba 52%
Baidu 39%
Z.ai 6%
ByteDance 2.8%
$128,290 交易量
$128,290 交易量
2026-05-31
Alibaba
$25,406 交易量
52%
Baidu
$18,547 交易量
39%
Z.ai
$14,513 交易量
6%
ByteDance
$13,032 交易量
3%
DeepSeek
$9,462 交易量
1%
Xiaomi
$9,114 交易量
1%
Moonshot
$13,601 交易量
1%
MiniMax
$9,696 交易量
1%
Tencent
$6,602 交易量
<1%
Meituan
$4,063 交易量
<1%
StepFun
$4,253 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Alibaba maintains a narrow lead in trader consensus for the top Chinese AI company by end of May, driven by its May 13 earnings report highlighting AI-related cloud revenue at 30 percent of external sales and plans to exceed prior three-year investment targets of 380 billion yuan. The company's Qwen model family continues scaling with new data centers and agentic integrations like shopping assistants on Taobao, reinforcing its position in open-source benchmarks and monetization momentum. Baidu trails closely after its May 14 Create 2026 conference, where it introduced DuMate and other agents alongside Ernie 5.1 updates, signaling a shift toward practical AI applications and daily active agent metrics. Other contenders such as Z.ai and DeepSeek hold smaller shares amid steady but less publicized infrastructure gains, while the wisdom of crowds in current pricing reflects these immediate catalysts over longer-term model releases.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
交易量
$128,290结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Alibaba maintains a narrow lead in trader consensus for the top Chinese AI company by end of May, driven by its May 13 earnings report highlighting AI-related cloud revenue at 30 percent of external sales and plans to exceed prior three-year investment targets of 380 billion yuan. The company's Qwen model family continues scaling with new data centers and agentic integrations like shopping assistants on Taobao, reinforcing its position in open-source benchmarks and monetization momentum. Baidu trails closely after its May 14 Create 2026 conference, where it introduced DuMate and other agents alongside Ernie 5.1 updates, signaling a shift toward practical AI applications and daily active agent metrics. Other contenders such as Z.ai and DeepSeek hold smaller shares amid steady but less publicized infrastructure gains, while the wisdom of crowds in current pricing reflects these immediate catalysts over longer-term model releases.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$128,290结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alibaba maintains a narrow lead in trader consensus for the top Chinese AI company by end of May, driven by its May 13 earnings report highlighting AI-related cloud revenue at 30 percent of external sales and plans to exceed prior three-year investment targets of 380 billion yuan. The company's Qwen model family continues scaling with new data centers and agentic integrations like shopping assistants on Taobao, reinforcing its position in open-source benchmarks and monetization momentum. Baidu trails closely after its May 14 Create 2026 conference, where it introduced DuMate and other agents alongside Ernie 5.1 updates, signaling a shift toward practical AI applications and daily active agent metrics. Other contenders such as Z.ai and DeepSeek hold smaller shares amid steady but less publicized infrastructure gains, while the wisdom of crowds in current pricing reflects these immediate catalysts over longer-term model releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题