Recent resilient economic data, particularly China's 5% Q1 2026 GDP expansion, has anchored trader expectations for no People's Bank of China rate adjustment in May, producing 98.2% implied probability of unchanged policy. Following eleven consecutive months of steady benchmark lending rates at 3.0% one-year and 3.5% five-year Loan Prime Rate levels, April's producer price index rebound to a multi-year high has further reduced urgency for easing amid stable financing conditions. The central bank's moderately loose stance continues without immediate catalyst for cuts or hikes. A clear deterioration in upcoming monthly activity indicators or renewed deflationary readings could still introduce modest volatility ahead of the mid-May Loan Prime Rate decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No Change 98.0%
Decrease <1%
Increase <1%
最新
最新
2026-05-31
Increase
<1%
No Change
98%
Decrease
1%
No Change 98.0%
Decrease <1%
Increase <1%
最新
最新
2026-05-31
Increase
$2,006 交易量
<1%
No Change
$2,024 交易量
98%
Decrease
$1,711 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.Recent resilient economic data, particularly China's 5% Q1 2026 GDP expansion, has anchored trader expectations for no People's Bank of China rate adjustment in May, producing 98.2% implied probability of unchanged policy. Following eleven consecutive months of steady benchmark lending rates at 3.0% one-year and 3.5% five-year Loan Prime Rate levels, April's producer price index rebound to a multi-year high has further reduced urgency for easing amid stable financing conditions. The central bank's moderately loose stance continues without immediate catalyst for cuts or hikes. A clear deterioration in upcoming monthly activity indicators or renewed deflationary readings could still introduce modest volatility ahead of the mid-May Loan Prime Rate decision.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
交易量
$5,741结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.Recent resilient economic data, particularly China's 5% Q1 2026 GDP expansion, has anchored trader expectations for no People's Bank of China rate adjustment in May, producing 98.2% implied probability of unchanged policy. Following eleven consecutive months of steady benchmark lending rates at 3.0% one-year and 3.5% five-year Loan Prime Rate levels, April's producer price index rebound to a multi-year high has further reduced urgency for easing amid stable financing conditions. The central bank's moderately loose stance continues without immediate catalyst for cuts or hikes. A clear deterioration in upcoming monthly activity indicators or renewed deflationary readings could still introduce modest volatility ahead of the mid-May Loan Prime Rate decision.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
交易量
$5,741结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent resilient economic data, particularly China's 5% Q1 2026 GDP expansion, has anchored trader expectations for no People's Bank of China rate adjustment in May, producing 98.2% implied probability of unchanged policy. Following eleven consecutive months of steady benchmark lending rates at 3.0% one-year and 3.5% five-year Loan Prime Rate levels, April's producer price index rebound to a multi-year high has further reduced urgency for easing amid stable financing conditions. The central bank's moderately loose stance continues without immediate catalyst for cuts or hikes. A clear deterioration in upcoming monthly activity indicators or renewed deflationary readings could still introduce modest volatility ahead of the mid-May Loan Prime Rate decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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