Recent supply recovery in the U.S. egg market, following sharply reduced Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza detections in early 2026, has driven wholesale prices to multi-year lows and positioned retail averages near $2.25 per dozen in April. This surplus, enabled by sufficient pullet replacements and flock rebuilding, has outpaced steady consumer demand and seasonal factors, producing the 63% market-implied probability for the $2.00–$2.25 band in May. USDA projections for a 29% full-year decline in retail egg prices, alongside farm-level values trading 93% below 2025 levels, reinforce trader expectations of continued stability in this range absent any rapid HPAI resurgence or unexpected demand spike.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$2.00–$2.25 63%
$2.25–$2.50 27%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$2.50–$2.75 2.6%
<$1.50
1%
$1.50–$1.75
2%
$1.75–$2.00
8%
$2.00–$2.25
63%
$2.25–$2.50
27%
$2.50–$2.75
3%
$2.75–$3.00
2%
$3.00–$3.25
2%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
2%
$2.00–$2.25 63%
$2.25–$2.50 27%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$2.50–$2.75 2.6%
<$1.50
1%
$1.50–$1.75
2%
$1.75–$2.00
8%
$2.00–$2.25
63%
$2.25–$2.50
27%
$2.50–$2.75
3%
$2.75–$3.00
2%
$3.00–$3.25
2%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
2%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
市场开放时间: May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent supply recovery in the U.S. egg market, following sharply reduced Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza detections in early 2026, has driven wholesale prices to multi-year lows and positioned retail averages near $2.25 per dozen in April. This surplus, enabled by sufficient pullet replacements and flock rebuilding, has outpaced steady consumer demand and seasonal factors, producing the 63% market-implied probability for the $2.00–$2.25 band in May. USDA projections for a 29% full-year decline in retail egg prices, alongside farm-level values trading 93% below 2025 levels, reinforce trader expectations of continued stability in this range absent any rapid HPAI resurgence or unexpected demand spike.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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