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失业 预测与赔率

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How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

28%

5.0%

$386K 交易量

$19.6K Liq.

13

Ends 8 个月内

May Unemployment Rate

May Unemployment Rate

35%

4.3%

$473 交易量

$25.8K Liq.

Ends 22 天内

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%

$6.3K 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

2

Ends 9 个月内

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

43%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$3.3K 交易量

$2.6K Liq.

1

Ends 9 个月内

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

80%

Up

$25.1K 交易量

$9.2K Liq.

Ends 10 个月内

How many jobs added in May?

How many jobs added in May?

41%

100k – 150k

$369 交易量

$14.3K Liq.

Ends 22 天内

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

73%

↓ 0.0014

$107K 交易量

$7.9K Liq.

5

Ends 8 个月内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$5.6K Liq.

123

Ends 大约 2 个月内

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

62%

↑ 800

$236K 交易量

$20.2K Liq.

10

Ends 8 个月内

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

40%

Keith Sonderling

$42.4K 交易量

$36.7K Liq.

1

Ends 8 个月内

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 14?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 14?

99%

$715

$4.9K 交易量

$49.6K Liq.

Ends 大约 19 小时内

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

50%

↓ 75,000

$14M 交易量

$1M today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends 18 天内

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

26%

$5.6K 交易量

$4.8K Liq.

Ends 17 天内

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$752K 交易量

$8.4K Liq.

14

Ends 4 个月前

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

76%

↑ 14,000

$49.7K 交易量

$51.4K Liq.

4

Ends 8 个月内

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

71%

↑ $304

$98.7K 交易量

$25.3K Liq.

Ends 18 天内

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

59%

↓ 60

$715K 交易量

$180K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in May 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in May 2026?

75%

↑ $232

$313K 交易量

$60.8K today

$30.1K Liq.

Ends 18 天内

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K 交易量

$9.9K Liq.

10

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

71%

↑ $750

$388K 交易量

$62.9K Liq.

2

Ends 18 天内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 失业 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 105 个活跃的 失业 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"How high will US unemployment go in 2026?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $19.6M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"What price will Bitcoin hit in May?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"What price will Bitcoin hit in May?",市场目前认为 ↑ 80,000 的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 失业 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。