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icon for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

icon for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

12月 31

12月 31

48% 概率
Polymarket

$12,612 交易量

48% 概率
Polymarket

$12,612 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent congressional scrutiny over Howard Lutnick's prior associations with Jeffrey Epstein has prompted bipartisan calls for his resignation, including from House Democrats and some Republicans, creating near-term uncertainty around his tenure. Lutnick continues to fulfill core duties, such as testifying before appropriations committees on the Commerce Department's budget and economic priorities into April 2026, with no formal removal announced by the administration. The slim trader lean toward retention through year-end stems from this lack of decisive executive action, historical patterns of cabinet stability absent major scandals, and the administration's focus on policy implementation. Further DOJ releases, committee probes, or shifts in presidential support could rapidly alter the balance before the December 31 resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$12,612
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent congressional scrutiny over Howard Lutnick's prior associations with Jeffrey Epstein has prompted bipartisan calls for his resignation, including from House Democrats and some Republicans, creating near-term uncertainty around his tenure. Lutnick continues to fulfill core duties, such as testifying before appropriations committees on the Commerce Department's budget and economic priorities into April 2026, with no formal removal announced by the administration. The slim trader lean toward retention through year-end stems from this lack of decisive executive action, historical patterns of cabinet stability absent major scandals, and the administration's focus on policy implementation. Further DOJ releases, committee probes, or shifts in presidential support could rapidly alter the balance before the December 31 resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$12,612
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 48%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 48¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 48%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?"已产生 $12.6K 的总交易量(自Mar 31, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?"的当前概率为 48%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 48%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。