Strong Danish and Greenlandic opposition to any transfer of sovereignty, combined with the absence of a viable purchase or Compact of Free Association agreement since early 2026 negotiations produced only a limited framework on mineral rights and Arctic security cooperation, underpins trader expectations that full U.S. acquisition will not occur before 2027. Greenlandic officials have repeatedly affirmed the territory is not for sale, with polling showing overwhelming local preference for continued ties to Denmark, while European NATO allies have coordinated statements rejecting coercion. The short remaining window through the end of 2026 leaves little time for the complex diplomatic, legal, and legislative steps required. A sudden shift in Greenlandic sentiment, major escalation involving Russia or China in the Arctic, or an unforeseen bilateral breakthrough could still alter the trajectory, though such developments lack supporting signals at present.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
4% 概率
$35,272,438 交易量
$35,272,438 交易量
2026-12-31
是
4% 概率
$35,272,438 交易量
$35,272,438 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Strong Danish and Greenlandic opposition to any transfer of sovereignty, combined with the absence of a viable purchase or Compact of Free Association agreement since early 2026 negotiations produced only a limited framework on mineral rights and Arctic security cooperation, underpins trader expectations that full U.S. acquisition will not occur before 2027. Greenlandic officials have repeatedly affirmed the territory is not for sale, with polling showing overwhelming local preference for continued ties to Denmark, while European NATO allies have coordinated statements rejecting coercion. The short remaining window through the end of 2026 leaves little time for the complex diplomatic, legal, and legislative steps required. A sudden shift in Greenlandic sentiment, major escalation involving Russia or China in the Arctic, or an unforeseen bilateral breakthrough could still alter the trajectory, though such developments lack supporting signals at present.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
交易量
$35,272,438结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Strong Danish and Greenlandic opposition to any transfer of sovereignty, combined with the absence of a viable purchase or Compact of Free Association agreement since early 2026 negotiations produced only a limited framework on mineral rights and Arctic security cooperation, underpins trader expectations that full U.S. acquisition will not occur before 2027. Greenlandic officials have repeatedly affirmed the territory is not for sale, with polling showing overwhelming local preference for continued ties to Denmark, while European NATO allies have coordinated statements rejecting coercion. The short remaining window through the end of 2026 leaves little time for the complex diplomatic, legal, and legislative steps required. A sudden shift in Greenlandic sentiment, major escalation involving Russia or China in the Arctic, or an unforeseen bilateral breakthrough could still alter the trajectory, though such developments lack supporting signals at present.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
交易量
$35,272,438结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong Danish and Greenlandic opposition to any transfer of sovereignty, combined with the absence of a viable purchase or Compact of Free Association agreement since early 2026 negotiations produced only a limited framework on mineral rights and Arctic security cooperation, underpins trader expectations that full U.S. acquisition will not occur before 2027. Greenlandic officials have repeatedly affirmed the territory is not for sale, with polling showing overwhelming local preference for continued ties to Denmark, while European NATO allies have coordinated statements rejecting coercion. The short remaining window through the end of 2026 leaves little time for the complex diplomatic, legal, and legislative steps required. A sudden shift in Greenlandic sentiment, major escalation involving Russia or China in the Arctic, or an unforeseen bilateral breakthrough could still alter the trajectory, though such developments lack supporting signals at present.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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