Trump's renewed push for Greenland since early 2025 encountered firm Danish and Greenlandic resistance to any sovereignty transfer, reinforced by NATO ally concerns and public opposition exceeding 85 percent among residents. Early threats of force or tariffs gave way to de-escalation by January 2026, including a Davos statement ruling out military action and vague references to a security "framework" without concrete purchase terms or timeline. Expanded U.S. military cooperation and development aid have advanced instead, but no acquisition agreement has materialized amid procedural and legal barriers. Traders assign only a 3.6 percent chance of success before 2027 because the compressed window leaves little room for breakthroughs absent major shifts in Greenlandic sentiment or Arctic security dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
4% 概率
$35,272,561 交易量
$35,272,561 交易量
2026-12-31
是
4% 概率
$35,272,561 交易量
$35,272,561 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trump's renewed push for Greenland since early 2025 encountered firm Danish and Greenlandic resistance to any sovereignty transfer, reinforced by NATO ally concerns and public opposition exceeding 85 percent among residents. Early threats of force or tariffs gave way to de-escalation by January 2026, including a Davos statement ruling out military action and vague references to a security "framework" without concrete purchase terms or timeline. Expanded U.S. military cooperation and development aid have advanced instead, but no acquisition agreement has materialized amid procedural and legal barriers. Traders assign only a 3.6 percent chance of success before 2027 because the compressed window leaves little room for breakthroughs absent major shifts in Greenlandic sentiment or Arctic security dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
交易量
$35,272,561结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trump's renewed push for Greenland since early 2025 encountered firm Danish and Greenlandic resistance to any sovereignty transfer, reinforced by NATO ally concerns and public opposition exceeding 85 percent among residents. Early threats of force or tariffs gave way to de-escalation by January 2026, including a Davos statement ruling out military action and vague references to a security "framework" without concrete purchase terms or timeline. Expanded U.S. military cooperation and development aid have advanced instead, but no acquisition agreement has materialized amid procedural and legal barriers. Traders assign only a 3.6 percent chance of success before 2027 because the compressed window leaves little room for breakthroughs absent major shifts in Greenlandic sentiment or Arctic security dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
交易量
$35,272,561结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's renewed push for Greenland since early 2025 encountered firm Danish and Greenlandic resistance to any sovereignty transfer, reinforced by NATO ally concerns and public opposition exceeding 85 percent among residents. Early threats of force or tariffs gave way to de-escalation by January 2026, including a Davos statement ruling out military action and vague references to a security "framework" without concrete purchase terms or timeline. Expanded U.S. military cooperation and development aid have advanced instead, but no acquisition agreement has materialized amid procedural and legal barriers. Traders assign only a 3.6 percent chance of success before 2027 because the compressed window leaves little room for breakthroughs absent major shifts in Greenlandic sentiment or Arctic security dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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