Canada's unemployment rate fell to 6.4% in July 2026, its lowest level in two years, driven by a stronger-than-expected 75,100 job gain and rising labor force participation to 65.1%. This follows a 2025 peak of 7.1% and aligns with forecasts for an average near 6.5% for the full year amid stabilizing conditions and Bank of Canada policy on hold. Trader consensus for the "No" outcome at 92.7% reflects this downward trajectory and resilience despite trade uncertainties. Potential challenges include new tariffs effective August 19 or energy price volatility that could slow hiring and push the rate above prior post-2016 highs before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
7% 概率
最新
最新
2027-02-15
是
7% 概率
最新
最新
2027-02-15
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada's unemployment rate fell to 6.4% in July 2026, its lowest level in two years, driven by a stronger-than-expected 75,100 job gain and rising labor force participation to 65.1%. This follows a 2025 peak of 7.1% and aligns with forecasts for an average near 6.5% for the full year amid stabilizing conditions and Bank of Canada policy on hold. Trader consensus for the "No" outcome at 92.7% reflects this downward trajectory and resilience despite trade uncertainties. Potential challenges include new tariffs effective August 19 or energy price volatility that could slow hiring and push the rate above prior post-2016 highs before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
市场开放时间： Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
交易量
$9,375结束日期
2027-02-15市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada's unemployment rate fell to 6.4% in July 2026, its lowest level in two years, driven by a stronger-than-expected 75,100 job gain and rising labor force participation to 65.1%. This follows a 2025 peak of 7.1% and aligns with forecasts for an average near 6.5% for the full year amid stabilizing conditions and Bank of Canada policy on hold. Trader consensus for the "No" outcome at 92.7% reflects this downward trajectory and resilience despite trade uncertainties. Potential challenges include new tariffs effective August 19 or energy price volatility that could slow hiring and push the rate above prior post-2016 highs before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
交易量
$9,375结束日期
2027-02-15市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's unemployment rate fell to 6.4% in July 2026, its lowest level in two years, driven by a stronger-than-expected 75,100 job gain and rising labor force participation to 65.1%. This follows a 2025 peak of 7.1% and aligns with forecasts for an average near 6.5% for the full year amid stabilizing conditions and Bank of Canada policy on hold. Trader consensus for the "No" outcome at 92.7% reflects this downward trajectory and resilience despite trade uncertainties. Potential challenges include new tariffs effective August 19 or energy price volatility that could slow hiring and push the rate above prior post-2016 highs before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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