Canada's unemployment rate reached 6.9% in April 2026, up from 6.7% the prior month and the highest level in six months, amid net job losses of 18,000 and a modest increase in labor force participation. This remains well below the 7.0% annual average recorded in 2016 and the 7.1% peak observed in late 2025, supporting the 91% market-implied probability that the full-year 2026 average will not exceed prior post-2016 levels. Traders cite stabilizing labor demand, contained layoff rates near pre-pandemic norms, and Bank of Canada policy expectations as key anchors, though a sharper slowdown in hiring or renewed external shocks could push the annual figure higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2027-02-15
是
最新
最新
2027-02-15
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada's unemployment rate reached 6.9% in April 2026, up from 6.7% the prior month and the highest level in six months, amid net job losses of 18,000 and a modest increase in labor force participation. This remains well below the 7.0% annual average recorded in 2016 and the 7.1% peak observed in late 2025, supporting the 91% market-implied probability that the full-year 2026 average will not exceed prior post-2016 levels. Traders cite stabilizing labor demand, contained layoff rates near pre-pandemic norms, and Bank of Canada policy expectations as key anchors, though a sharper slowdown in hiring or renewed external shocks could push the annual figure higher.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
市场开放时间： Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
交易量
$6,345结束日期
2027-02-15市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.Canada's unemployment rate reached 6.9% in April 2026, up from 6.7% the prior month and the highest level in six months, amid net job losses of 18,000 and a modest increase in labor force participation. This remains well below the 7.0% annual average recorded in 2016 and the 7.1% peak observed in late 2025, supporting the 91% market-implied probability that the full-year 2026 average will not exceed prior post-2016 levels. Traders cite stabilizing labor demand, contained layoff rates near pre-pandemic norms, and Bank of Canada policy expectations as key anchors, though a sharper slowdown in hiring or renewed external shocks could push the annual figure higher.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
交易量
$6,345结束日期
2027-02-15市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's unemployment rate reached 6.9% in April 2026, up from 6.7% the prior month and the highest level in six months, amid net job losses of 18,000 and a modest increase in labor force participation. This remains well below the 7.0% annual average recorded in 2016 and the 7.1% peak observed in late 2025, supporting the 91% market-implied probability that the full-year 2026 average will not exceed prior post-2016 levels. Traders cite stabilizing labor demand, contained layoff rates near pre-pandemic norms, and Bank of Canada policy expectations as key anchors, though a sharper slowdown in hiring or renewed external shocks could push the annual figure higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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