Recent softening in U.S. labor demand, highlighted by the June 2026 JOLTS release of 7.359 million openings (below the 7.40 million consensus) and ADP private payrolls adding just 98,000 jobs, forms the core driver behind dispersed trader probabilities for the July report due September 1. Elevated but declining openings relative to the May peak of 7.594 million, alongside stable yet modest hires and separations, reflect ongoing moderation amid resilient unemployment near 4.2%. This backdrop creates competitive dynamics across the 7.1–7.7 million bands, as markets weigh sector-specific slowdowns in healthcare and hospitality against broader economic resilience that could influence FOMC rate-path expectations priced in Treasury yields and fed funds futures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于730万-740万 20%
720万-730万 15%
740万-750万 13%
760万-770万 13%
低于710万
12%
710万-720万
13%
720万-730万
15%
730万-740万
20%
740万-750万
13%
750万-760万
12%
760万-770万
13%
770万+
13%
730万-740万 20%
720万-730万 15%
740万-750万 13%
760万-770万 13%
低于710万
12%
710万-720万
13%
720万-730万
15%
730万-740万
20%
740万-750万
13%
750万-760万
12%
760万-770万
13%
770万+
13%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent softening in U.S. labor demand, highlighted by the June 2026 JOLTS release of 7.359 million openings (below the 7.40 million consensus) and ADP private payrolls adding just 98,000 jobs, forms the core driver behind dispersed trader probabilities for the July report due September 1. Elevated but declining openings relative to the May peak of 7.594 million, alongside stable yet modest hires and separations, reflect ongoing moderation amid resilient unemployment near 4.2%. This backdrop creates competitive dynamics across the 7.1–7.7 million bands, as markets weigh sector-specific slowdowns in healthcare and hospitality against broader economic resilience that could influence FOMC rate-path expectations priced in Treasury yields and fed funds futures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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